Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Miér Nov 30, 2016 10:18 pm

01.12.2016

Análisis tecnico

EURUSD

Panorama general:

El euro fortaleció su posición en el mercado tras la publicación de unas estadísticas alentadores en la Eurozona. Las ventas minoristas alemanas superaron la estimación de los analistas, mientras la tasa de desempleo coincidió con las expectativas de los operadores. Sin embargo, los informes de desempleo e ingresos en EEUU borraron las ganancias.

Situación actual:

El EURUSD operó cerca de sus recientes máximos a lo largo del miércoles. El primer intento de los compradores por recuperar la marca 1.0650 fue frenada por la defensa vendedora. Sin embargo, el segundo intento resultó exitoso y la cotización extendió su crecimiento hasta 1.0700 de cara a la apertura de la sesión estadounidense. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el par rompió la EMA 50 y se mantuvo alrededor de la misma durante la sesión europea. Las medias móviles exhibieron una dinámica bajista. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0600 y el soporte en 1.0550.

El crecimiento del histograma MACD evidencia la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI se movió al alza.

Recomendaciones:

La ruptura del nivel 1.0650 podría derivar en una extensión del ascenso hacia 1.0700. De lo contrario, los vendedores podrían empujar al par hacia 1.0550.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:

Ante la falta de eventos económicos en Reino Unido, los inversores pusieron su atención en los datos estadounidenses y el encuentro de la OPEP. Las estadísticas de empleo ADP en EEUU también apoyaron al dólar y pesaron sobre la libra esterlina. 

Situación actual:

La cotización mantuvo una dinámica lateral durante las operaciones del miércoles. El GBPUSD operó cómodamente en torno a 1.2500 y no fue capaz de definir una dirección de corto plazo. Los vendedores presionaron a la cotización a mediados de la sesión europea, llevando a la misma hacia la banda inferior del intervalo. El par permaneció por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios se movieron de forma neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2500 y el soporte en 1.2400.

Los indicadores técnicos MACD y RSI no registraron cambios significativos.

Recomendaciones:

La imposibilidad de superar el nivel 1.2500 pondría en pausa a las fuerzas compradoras. La cotización podría rebotar en dicho nivel y moverse hacia 1.2400 en las próximas sesiones.



USDJPY

Panorama general:

El yen cayó frente a su contraparte estadounidense luego de que el índice de producción industrial se estableciera por debajo de las estimaciones. Asimismo, las estadísticas estadounidenses apoyaron la fortaleza del dólar.

Situación actual:

El dólar mantuvo una posición firme a lo largo del miércoles, operando en torno a su máximo local frente al yen. Tras una rápida recuperación desde 112.00, el par encontró una fuerte resistencia en 113.00 en la sesión europea. La cotización penetró a las EMA 50 y 100 en el gráfico de 1 hora y permaneció por encima de las mismas durante el resto de la jornada. Las EMA 50, 100 y 200 apuntaron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 114.00 y el soporte en 113.00.

La crecimiento del MACD evidencia el fortalecimiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI se movió al alza.

Recomendaciones:

La incapacidad de atravesar el nivel 113.00 podría derivar en un retroceso hacia 112.00. Además, la ruptura de 112.00 pausaría a los compradores y renovaría la dinámica bajista hacia 111.00, 110.00.



AUDUSD

Panorama general:

El dólar australiano cedió frente a su contraparte estadounidense tras un débil resultado de los permisos de construcción del último mes.

Situación actual:

La cotización se alejó de su reciente máximo en 0.7500. Los vendedores custodiaban dicha marca e impidieron la extensión del crecimiento por segunda vez consecutiva. El AUDUSD cayó hasta 0.7450 durante la sesión europea y rompió dicha marca en la sesión estadounidense. La cotización rebotó en la EMA 100 en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las EMA 100 y 200 se movieron a la baja, mientras la EMA 50 apuntó en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 0.7450 y el soporte en 0.7400.

Los indicadores técnicos se desplazaron a la baja, aunque permanecieron dentro del territorio alcista. La disminución del MACD evidencia el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI perdió su ímpetu comprador y viró a la baja.

Recomendaciones:

La marca 0.7400 limitó la trayectoria bajista de la cotización. La ruptura de dicho nivel podría derivar en una extensión de las pérdidas hasta 0.7350. Si el par superase el nivel 0.7500, las fuerzas compradores reactivarían su movimiento hacia 0.7550.



XAUUSD

Panorama general:

Los precios del oro cayeron durante las operaciones del miércoles, en tanto las alentadoras estadísticas económicas de EEUU elevaron las expectativas de una subida de tipos de la Fed en diciembre.

Situación actual:

Los precios del oro permanecieron dentro de un intervalo de negociación estrecho, en torno a los $1190 por onza durante la sesión europea. Los intentos por salir del rango no resultaron exitosos. Tras renovar su máximo local en $1193, el oro se mantuvo por debajo de dicha marca durante el resto del día. La cotización cruzó a las EMA 50 y 100 en el gráfico de 1 hora. Sin embargo, el metal no fue capaz de extender sus ganancias y regresó por debajo de los promedios tras la apertura de la sesión europea. Las medias móviles exhibieron una dinámica bajista. La resistencia se ubica en $1180 y el soporte en $1170.

Los indicadores no registraron cambios significativos. El MACD continúa en un área negativa y el RSI se movió a la baja.

Recomendaciones:

Cualquier movimiento por encima de la resistencia inmediata elevaría las chances de un avance hacia los $1200 por onza. En caso de no poder superar los $1190, el oro podría caer hacia $1180, $1170.



BRENT

Panorama general:

Los miembros de la OPEP acordaron el recorte de sus niveles de producción de crudo por primera vez desde el año 2008.

Situación actual:

El mercado petrolero exhibió una dinámica positivo a lo largo del miércoles. El Brent comenzó la jornada con una divergencia alcista y mantuvo una fuerte demanda durante el resto del día. Los futuros del crudo penetraron los niveles $47.50, $48.50, $49.50 y pusieron a prueba los $50.50 a mediados de la sesión europea. Los compradores perdieron impulso en dicha marca y cedieron algunas posiciones. La cotización despegó desde la EMA 50 y avanzó al norte, rompiendo las EMA 100 y 200 en su camino. La resistencia se ubica en $50.50 y el soporte en $49.50 por barril.

Los indicadores técnicos ofrecen señales de compra. El MACD se encuentra en la línea central. Si el histograma ingresa en territorio positivo, los compradores fortalecerán su posición en el mercado. De lo contrario, los vendedores recuperarán el control de las operaciones. El RSI se movió en dirección norte, lo que valida el actual movimiento alcista.

Recomendaciones:

Los precios del Brent podría retroceder luego del reciente rally. El crudo podría consolidar sus ganancias por debajo de los $49.50.



DAX

Panorama general:

Las acciones de los bancos europeos subieron durante las operaciones del miércoles, siguiendo el crecimiento de los sectores energético y químico.

Situación actual:

El índice comenzó la sesión del miércoles con una divergencia alcista. Durante la jornada, el índice extendió su avance y superó el máximo del día anterior. La cotización probó la EMA 50 en el gráfico de 4 horas. Este promedio frenó el crecimiento del índice y le rechazó a la baja. Las EMA 100 y 200 mantuvieron una dinámica neutral, mientras la EMA 50 se movió en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en 10700 y el soporte en 10600.

El crecimiento del MACD evidencia el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI avanzó hacia los niveles de sobrecompra.

Recomendaciones:

En nuestra opinión, el índice DAX no extenderá sus ganancias en el corto plazo a menos que supere los 10700 puntos. En caso de caer por debajo de los 10600 puntos, el próximo objetivo estará en 10500.



NASDAQ

Situación actual:

El Nasdaq mantuvo una dinámica negativa a lo largo del miércoles. El índice comenzó la jornada sin cambios significativos, aunque posteriormente se vio afectado por presiones bajista en la sesión europea. El índice se enfrentó a los 4865 puntos para extender su movimiento bajista. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el índice probó a la EMA 50. Las EMA 50 y 100 se movieron en dirección norte mientras la EMA permaneció neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 4900 y el soporte en 4865.

La disminución del histograma confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El oscilador RSI se movió a la baja.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos que el movimiento bajista se extienda en el corto plazo. La ruptura de los 4865 puntos abriría el paso hacia los 4830 y 4800



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ValdisFFS

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Jue Dic 01, 2016 10:28 pm

02.12.2016

Análisis tecnico

EURUSD

Panorama general:

El índice PMI manufacturero de la Eurozona superó las estimaciones de los analistas, mientras que en las principales economías de la región, Alemania y Francia, no alcanzaron las previsiones. El dólar ignoró los datos desalentadores del mercado laboral estadounidense y mantuvo una dinámica alcista apoyado en el continuo avance de los precios petroleros.

Situación actual:

Tras encontrar un mínimo local en torno al nivel 1.0600, el euro rebotó hacia 1.0625. La cotización permaneció por encima de la marca 1.0600 durante toda la sesión europea, manteniendo además un tono neutral. El par atravesó a la media móvil de 50 días en su ascenso, según observamos en el gráfico de 4 horas. Asimismo, vemos que la cotización se mantuvo por debajo de las EMA 100 y 200. La EMA 50 estuvo neutral mientras las EMA 100 y 200 mantuvieron su dinámica bajista. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0650 y el soporte en 1.0600.

El indicador MACD se encuentra en la línea central. El RSI continúa dentro del territorio neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Los indicadores ofrecen señales de venta. Si las presiones bajistas persisten, el par extenderá su descenso hacia 1.0550.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:

La libra esterlina se movió al alza durante las operaciones del jueves, a pesar de que el índice PMI manufacturero de Reino Unido no alcanzó el pronóstico de los analistas. La moneda británica aprovechó el contexto de debilitamiento del dólar.

Situación actual:

Las posiciones compradoras están ganando popularidad en el mercado. La libra extendió su recuperación tras rebotar en la marca 1.2400. La cotización atravesó a la resistencia 1.2500 y continuó creciendo hasta superar el nivel 1.2600 de cara a la apertura de la sesión estadounidense. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el par rebotó en las EMA 50 y 100, y posteriormente se desplazó en dirección norte. Los promedios mantuvieron una moderada inclinación alcista. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2700 y el soporte en 1.2600.

El crecimiento del histograma MACD evidencia la fortaleza de los compradores. El oscilador RSI permaneció cerca de los niveles de sobrecompra, validando un nuevo movimiento alcista.

Recomendaciones:

Se espera que la cotización retroceda luego del reciente incremento. El GBPUSD podría regresar a 1.2500 en las próximas sesiones.



USDJPY

Panorama general:

El dólar alcanzó un máximo de 9 meses frente al yen durante las operaciones del jueves, apoyado por las alentadoras estadísticas estadounidenses. El índice PMI manufacturero de Japón pesó sobre el yen.

Situación actual:

La perspectiva alcista aún continúa vigente.El par operó en torno a su máximo local durante toda la jornada. El avance del par se detuvo en 115.00, donde los vendedores intervinieron y devolvieron al dólar hacia 114.00. Las medias móviles no registraron cambios significativos. La resistencia se ubica en 115.00 y el soporte en 114.00.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El indicador RSI permanece en los niveles de sobrecompra.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos que el par extienda su avance hacia la resistencia en 115.00. La ruptura de dicha marca despejaría el camino para que el par avance hacia 116.00.



NZDUSD

Panorama general:

El dólar neozelandés continuó operando bajo presión ante el fortalecimiento de su contraparte estadounidense. El dólar extendió sus ganancias luego de que algunos datos laborales elevasen las expectativas de una subida de tipos de la Reserva Federal el mes próximo. Este viernes, los operadores optarán por un posicionamiento cauteloso a la espera de las nóminas no agrícolas.

Situación actual:

Tras un reciente avance, la divisa neozelandesa se corrigió a la baja en torno a 0.7100, donde se mantuvo a lo largo del dólar. El NZDUSD operó de forma lateral e ingresó en una fase de consolidación bajista. Los intentos por superar a 0.7100 no fueron satisfactorios y la cotización permaneció dentro del intervalo, entre las EMA 50 y 100, según observamos el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 200 mantuvo una dinámica neutral, mientras la EMA 100 se movió a la baja y la EMA 50 se desplazó en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 0.7100 y el soporte en 0.7050.

La disminución del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. Aunque el RSI no salió del territorio neutral, éste avanzó en dirección sur, lo que valida el descenso de la cotización.

Recomendaciones:

Un movimiento por debajo de 0.7100 confirmaría la fortaleza de los vendedores. Esperamos que el par extienda su descenso hacia 0.7050 tras penetrar la marca 0.7100.



XAUUSD

Panorama general:

Los precios del oro recuperaron parte de sus posiciones tras caer a su punto más bajo de los últimos 10 meses. La corrección del dólar estadounidense facilitó el avance del metal amarillo. Sin embargo, la recuperación estuvo limitada por las expectativas de una subida de tipos de la Fed en diciembre.

Situación actual:

Los estudios técnicos presentan una perspectiva bajista. El oro rebotó desde el soporte $1160 y avanzó hacia los $1180 durante las operaciones del jueves. El metal perdió el ímpetu comprador de cara a la apertura de la sesión europea y a mediados de la misma reculó hacia los $1170 por onza. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo la cotización se desarrolló por debajo de las medias móviles, las cuales mantuvieron una dinámica negativa. La resistencia se ubica en $1180 y el soporte en $1170 por onza.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de las posiciones vendedoras. El indicador RSI extendió su consolidación en los niveles de sobreventa.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos una renovación de las presiones bajistas. El objetivo de los vendedores estará en $1160.



BRENT

Panorama general:

Los operadores consideran que el acuerdo de la OPEP no solucionará el desbalance de oferta en el mercado petrolero. Ante la reducción de sus niveles de producción, algunos analistas creen que EEUU podría elevar su suministro para compensar la demanda.

Situación actual:

La tendencia es predominantemente alcista. Los precios petroleros extendieron su momentum de compra durante las operaciones del jueves. Luego de empujar a la cotización del Brent hasta los $52.50 por barril, los operadores hicieron una pausa. Los futuros del crudo se mantuvieron cerca de dicho nivel durante todo el día. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo la EMA 50 atravesó a la EMA 200 en dirección norte. Las EMA 50, 100 y 200 se movieron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en $53.50 y el soporte en $52.50 por barril.

El crecimiento del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI se consolidó dentro del territorio positivo.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos que la toma de ganancias devuelva a los precios hasta los $51.50.



DAX

Panorama general:

El índice DAX operó a la baja durante la sesión del jueves, en tanto los traders optaron por un posicionamiento cauteloso de cara a la celebración del referéndum constitucional en Italia. El aumento de los precios petroleros apoyó moderadamente a los parqués europeos.

Situación actual:

Las presiones bajistas pesaron sobre el DAX a lo largo de la jornada. El índice alemán penetró los 10600 puntos y extendió su descenso hasta los 10550 puntos. Allí, los vendedores detuvieron su movimiento momentáneamente, pues retomaron la senda bajista tras la apertura de la sesión estadounidense. El índice atravesó las EMA 200 y 100 en el gráfico de 4 horas. Estos promedios mantuvieron una dinámica neutral, mientras la EMA 50 se movió a la baja. La resistencia se ubica en 10600 y el soporte en 10500.

La disminución del histograma ofrece una señal de venta. El RSI se movió en dirección sur.

Recomendaciones:

Un cierre por debajo del soporte 10500 abriría las puertas hacia los 10400 puntos.



S&P500

Panorama general:

Los índices de Wall Street abrieron al alza la sesión del jueves, impulsados por el continuo avance de los precios petroleros y, en consecuencia, de las acciones del sector energético.

Situación actual:

Las posiciones vendedoras están ganando popularidad en el mercado. La incapacidad de superar su máximo semanal en los 2212 puntos pesó sobre el índice. El S&P500 abrió a la baja y se debilitó progresivamente a lo largo del día. Los operadores empujaron al mismo por debajo de los 2200 puntos, donde permaneció durante la sesión estadounidense. La EMA 50 cruzó a la EMA 200 y avanzó en dirección norte en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las EMA 50, 100 y 200 se movieron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en 4900 y el soporte en 4865.

El MACD se encuentra en la línea central. Si el histograma ingresa en territorio negativo, los vendedores fortalecerán su posición en el mercado. De lo contrario, los compradores recuperarán el control de las operaciones. El RSI permaneció en territorio neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Las miradas están puestas en los 2220 puntos. En caso de romper dicho soporte, el índice podría caer hasta los 2180 puntos.



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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Dom Dic 04, 2016 9:19 pm

05.12.2016

Análisis tecnico

EURUSD

Panorama general:

El euro terminó la semana anterior a la baja, afectado por el debilitamiento de los bonos alemanes. Los operadores mantuvieron un posicionamiento cauteloso de cara a la publicación de los datos laborales en EEUU y el referéndum constitucional de Italia. Pese a que las nóminas no agrícolas no alcanzaron el pronóstico, la tasa de paro continuó disminuyendo.

Situación actual:

El mercado mantuvo una dinámica positiva el pasado viernes. El avance del euro se vio limitado por la marca 1.0700, donde rebotó a la baja tras un rally de dos días consecutivos. El par se encaminó en dirección sur y puso a prueba el nivel 1.0650 durante la sesión europea. Sin embargo, los compradores regresaron en la sesión estadounidense y enviaron a la cotización hacia 1.0700. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el par alcanzó la EMA 100 en la sesión europea y luego rebotó a la baja previa la apertura de los mercados estadounidenses. La resistencia se ubica en 1.070 y el soporte en 1.0650.

El crecimiento del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI permaneció en los niveles de sobrecompra.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos que la cotización mantenga una dinámica negativa. La ruptura de 1.0600 podría forzar al euro a retomar el sendero bajista hacia 1.0500. Sin embargo, no descartamos un avance hacia 1.0750.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:

La libra esterlina fortaleció su posición durante las operaciones del viernes, apoyada por el buen resultado del índice PMI del sector de la construcción de Reino Unido. Sin embargo, su avance se vio limitado por los datos mixtos del mercado laboral estadounidense.

Situación actual:

Tras renovar el máximo de noviembre en 1.2700, la libra esterlina cedió hasta el nivel 1.2600, donde los compradores encontraron un soporte sólido. Los operadores intentaron retomar el sendero alcista durante la sesión estadounidense. La cotización se desarrolló por encima de las medias móviles, las cuales apuntaron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2700 y el soporte en 1.2600.

El MACD permaneció sin cambios significativos, lo que confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El oscilador RSI se mantuvo en los niveles de sobrecompra, validando un nuevo movimiento al alza.

Recomendaciones:

Si la cotización rompiese a la resistencia inmediata, ésta extendería su avance hacia 1.2800. De lo contrario, una caída por debajo de 1.2600 detendría a los compradores y abriría el paso a 1.2500-1.2400.



USDJPY

Panorama general:

El dólar no aprovechó la debilidad del yen durante la sesión del viernes.

Situación actual:

El USDJPY permaneció dentro de un canal ascendente. Los compradores consolidaron sus ganancias y acumularon fuerzas para un nuevo movimiento alcista. La cotización se alejó de la banda superior del intervalo, moviéndose hacia 113.00. Las medias móviles no registraron cambios significativos y siguieron apuntando en dirección norte. El par operó por encima de los promedios. La resistencia se ubica en 114.00 y el soporte en 113.00.

La disminución del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI se distanció de los niveles de sobrecompra.

Recomendaciones:

Una vez superada la marca 114.00, el próximo objetivo podría fijarse en 115.00. Sin embargo, la incapacidad para renovar su máximo podría derivar en una caída hacia 112.00.



USDCAD

Panorama general:

Las estadísticas laborales mixtas de EEUU pesaron sobre el dólar y alentaron el desarrollo de su contraparte canadiense. Por otro lado, los precios petroleros retrocedieron de un máximo de 15 meses, lo que también fortaleció al USDCAD, el cual regresó al nivel 1.3300 y extendió sus pérdidas.

Situación actual:

El USDCAD abrió las operaciones del viernes a la baja y mantuvo un dinámica negativa a lo largo del día. Tras una breve consolidación durante la sesión europea, los operadores empujaron a la cotización hacia 1.3260. Dicha marca contuvo las pérdidas del par y le devolvió a sus niveles previos. La cotización atravesó la EMA 200 en su descenso, según observamos en el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 200 apuntó al alza, en tanto las EMA 50 y 100 se movieron en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en 1.3330 y el soporte en 1.3260.

La disminución del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los vendedores. El indicador RSI se aferró al área de sobreventa, validando un nuevo descenso.

Recomendaciones:

El nivel 1.3260 limitó el debilitamiento del dólar. La ruptura de dicho nivel abrirías las puertas hacia 1.3190. Si el soporte rechaza a la cotización por segunda vez, ésta podría recuperarse hasta 1.3400.



XAUUSD

Panorama general:

A pesar de que el dólar retrocedió frente a sus principales rivales, el oro no registró cambios significativos durante las operaciones del viernes. El interés por los activos de riesgo prevaleció entre los inversores.

Situación actual:

Los precios del oro buscaron una dirección entre los niveles de soporte y resistencia. El metal osciló entre los $1180 y $1170 por onza a lo largo del día. La cotización se desarrolló por debajo de las medias móviles. El par cruzó a la EMA 50 y detuvo su avance en la EMA 100, según muestra el gráfico de 1 hora. Las medias móviles apuntaron en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en $1180 y el soporte en $1170 por onza.

El MACD permaneció en territorio negativo. Si el MACD continúa en dicha zona, los vendedores fortalecerán sus posiciones. El RSI se mantuvo en el área neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Aconsejamos una postura neutral. Esperamos que el metal extienda su dinámica lateral en el corto plazo.



BRENT

Panorama general:

Los precios petroleros cedieron a lo largo del viernes, afectados por una creciente toma de beneficios por parte de los inversores y las preocupaciones sobre la capacidad de la OPEP para detener la sobreoferta global de crudo.

Situación actual:

Los futuros petroleros exhibieron una dinámica mixta. Durante la sesión europea, los precios se movieron a la baja hasta el soporte $52.50 por barril. Más tarde, con la apertura de la sesión estadounidense, los precios repuntaron hacia su máximo de 16 meses. La cotización permaneció por encima de las medias móviles de 50, 100 y 200 días, según observamos el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 200 se mostró neutral, mientras las EMA 50 y 100 avanzaron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en $55.50 y el soporte en $53.50 por barril.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI se consolidó en territorio positivo.

Recomendaciones:

Si la dinámica positiva se extiende en el mercado, los precios podrían extender el avance hacia los $55.50 por barril. Sin embargo, la ruptura de $53.50 abriría las puertas a una corrección hacia $50.50.



DAX

Panorama general:

Las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana al alza, pese a la incertidumbre derivada del referéndum constitucional en Italia. Los precios petroleros mantuvieron un crecimiento sostenido, mientras que el retroceso del dólar apoyó a los parqués del Viejo Continente.

Situación actual:

El DAX abrió la sesión del viernes con una divergencia bajista. El par pasó de los 10480 a los 10470 puntos durante la sesión asiática y extendió sus pérdidas hasta los 10400 puntos tras la apertura de los mercados europeos. Posteriormente, el índice rebotó desde los 10400 puntos, desplazándose hacia los 10500 y cerrando la brecha inicial de cara a la apertura de las bolsas estadounidenses. La cotización penetró las EMA 100 y 200 en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las medias móviles mencionadas mantuvieron una dinámica neutral, en tanto la EMA 50 apuntó en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en 10600 y el soporte en 10500.

El crecimiento del MACD muestra el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El indicador RSI rebotó en la zona de sobreventa.

Recomendaciones:

Si los compradores retienen el control del índice DAX, éste podría aumentar hasta los 10600 puntos.



NASDAQ

Panorama general:

A pesar de los datos laborales decepcionantes, los mercados bursátiles de EEUU operaron al alza durante la sesión del viernes, apoyados por un sólido fortalecimiento de los precios petroleros.

Situación actual:

El índice comenzó la sesión del viernes a la baja, aunque logró revertir sus pérdidas a lo largo del día. El índice encontró soporte en los 4710 puntos y fue rechazado hacia arriba. La cotización extendió su avance hasta superar los 4740 puntos de cara a la apertura de la sesión estadounidense. El NASDAQ permaneció por debajo de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las EMA 100 y 200 mantuvieron una dinámica neutral, mientras la EMA 50 apuntó en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en 4770 y el soporte en 4740.

El crecimiento del MACD evidencia el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI rebotó desde el área de sobreventa.

Recomendaciones:

Una recuperación más allá de los 4770 puntos neutralizaría las presiones bajistas. Si el tono positivo persiste, el índice podría extender su recuperación hasta los 4800 puntos.



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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Miér Dic 07, 2016 2:22 am

07.12.2016

EURUSD

Panorama general:

El PIB positivo de la Eurozona junto con un crecimiento en las órdenes de fabricación de Alemania apoyaron a la moneda única durante las operaciones del martes. Hay posibilidades de que un gobierno provisorio tome el poder en Italia hasta la celebración de los comicios en Febrero.

Situación actual:

El EURUSD adoptó una dinámica negativa en la sesión previa. Los compradores pausaron su avance tras el impresionante rally del lunes y aprovecharon para consolidar sus ganancias. Tras alcanzar un máximo intradiario en 1.0785, la cotización se encaminó en dirección sur, borrando parte de sus ganancias. El EURUSD cruzó el soporte 1.0750 y extendió su descenso hacia 1.0700 de cara a la sesión estadounidense. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el par puso a prueba la EMA 200 y rebotó a la baja inmediatamente después de tocarla. Las EMA 200 y 100 apuntaron a la baja, mientras la EMA 50 avanzó al norte. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0750 y el soporte en 1.0700.

La disminución del histograma MACD confirma el debilitamiento de los compradores. El RSI abandonó el área de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

La ruptura de 1.0750 sugeriría una extensión bajista. Esperamos que la cotización se desplace hacia los niveles 1.0700, 1.0650.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:

La libra esterlina mantuvo una posición fuerte frente al dólar pese a la ausencia de eventos macroeconómicos.

Situación actual:

La moneda británica extendió su momentum alcista y renovó un máximo de dos meses durante las operaciones del martes. Luego de penetrar la marca 1.2700, la cotización creció hasta 1.2770, donde permaneció por el resto del día. El GBPUSD se mantuvo por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios apuntaron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2800 y el soporte en 1.2700.

La inactividad del MACD confirma el fortalecimiento de los compradores. El MACD exhibe una divergencia en el gráfico de 1 hora. El RSI continúa en la zona de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Si la libra retiene el tono ascendente, ésta podría avanzar hacia 1.2800. De lo contrario, esperamos que una dinámica bajista envíe al par hacia 1.2700. En caso de romper dicha marca, el próximo objetivo será 1.2600.



USDJPY

Panorama general:

El par mantuvo una dinámica neutral pese a la falta de publicaciones relevantes en Japón. En EEUU también se presentaron informes de poca importancia, como la balanza comercial y las órdenes de fabricación.

Situación actual:

La cotización mantuvo una dinámica alcista durante las operaciones del martes. El USDJPY permaneció en un canal ascendente, cerca de la banda inferior. El yen se mostró firme y limitó el avance del dólar estadounidense. El par extendió su fase de consolidación por debajo del reciente máximo 114.80, operándose en torno a 114.00. La cotización rebotó en la media móvil de 50 días, según observamos en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios se desplazaron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 114.00 y el soporte en 113.00.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI permaneció en territorio neutral.

Recomendaciones:

La perspectiva continúa siendo alcista hacia la resistencia 115.00. La incapacidad para penetrar dicho nivel podría derivar en un retroceso hacia 113.00 y 112.00 en extensión. En caso de romper esta última marca, las presiones compradores quedarían neutralizadas.



AUDUSD

Panorama general:

El dólar australiano bajó frente a su contraparte estadounidense luego de que el Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA) optarse por mantener sin cambios su tasa de interés. El regulador también destacó la posibilidad de una desaceleración económica en el corto plazo.

Situación actual:

La cotización fue rechazada en torno a 0.7500, por lo que las fuerzas vendedoras aprovecharon para devolverla hacia 0.7450, revirtiendo gran parte de las ganancias registradas en la sesión previa. El AUDUSD se operó estable durante la sesión europea, aunque intentó recuperar algunas posiciones de cara a la apertura de la sesión americana. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el par rebotó al alza en las EMA 50 y 100. La EMA 50 cruzó a la EMA 100 en dirección norte. Las EMA 100 y 200 mantuvieron una dinámica bajista, mientras la EMA 50 se desplazó al alza. La resistencia se ubica en 0.7500 y el soporte en 0.7450.

El MACD ingresó en un área positiva. El RSI permaneció en una zona neutral.

Recomendaciones:

El par podría extender su recuperación por encima de 0.7450. Los operadores podrían empujar a la cotización hacia 0.7500, sin embargo, esta marca parece ofrecer una fuerte resistencia y ya rechazó en varias oportunidades al par. Un nuevo intento fallido por superarla podría derivar en un retroceso hacia 0.7450. De lo contrario, el próximo objetivo estará en 0.7550.



XAUUSD

Panorama general:

Los precios del oro bajaron durante las operaciones del martes, manteniéndose en torno a su mínimo de 10 meses. Las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal eleve sus tipos de interés este mes pesaron sobre el metal amarillo.

Situación actual:

El oro mantuvo una dinámica neutral a lo largo del día. Tras rebotar en los $1160, el metal precioso saltó hasta los $1170. La cotización osciló dentro del intervalo $1170-$1175 por onza. El XAUUSD permaneció por debajo de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios apuntaron en dirección sur. La resistencia se ubica en $1180 y soporte en $1170 por onza.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de los vendedores. El RSI permaneció en territorio neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Optaremos por posiciones cortas si el oro cayese por debajo de los $1170 por onza. En tal escenario, el próximo objetivo estará en $1160.



BRENT

Panorama general:

Los precios petroleros se ajustaron a la baja ante una creciente toma de beneficios por parte de los inversores tras casi una semana de fortalecimiento.

Situación actual:

El crudo Brent se distanció de su máximo anual y cayó por debajo de los $54.50 a comienzos de la sesión europea. Luego de romper esta marca, el índice extendió sus pérdidas hacia los $53.50 por barril y puso a prueba este nivel previa la apertura de la sesión estadounidense. La cotización permaneció por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 200 mantuvo una dinámica neutral mientras que las EMA 50 y 100 se movieron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en $54.50 y el soporte en $53.50 por barril.

La disminución del MACD evidencia la fortaleza de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI abandonó los niveles de sobrecompra y se desplazó al sur.

Recomendaciones:

Si los pesimistas continúan presionando al Brent, éste podría romper los $53.50 en las próximas sesiones. En caso de superar esta marca, los siguientes objetivos estarán en los $52.50 y $51.50 por barril.



DAX

Panorama general:

Las bolsas europeas operaron de forma lateral al comienzo del martes, experimentando algunas presiones derivadas de la corrección del petróleo.

Situación actual:


El índice comenzó con una divergencia bajista que extendió hasta un mínimo intradiario en los 10661 puntos. El DAX revirtió su dirección al inicio de la sesión europea. Los precios crecieron por encima de los 10700 puntos y alcanzaron un pico en los 10751. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el índice permaneció por encima de las medias móviles. Los promedios mantuvieron una dinámica neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 10800 y el soporte en 10700.

El MACD operó al alza, mientras que el RSI se aferró a los niveles de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Si el precio se fija por debajo del soporte 10700, esperamos que la tendencia bajista se extienda en el corto plazo. Los próximos objetivos se encontrarán en los 10600, 10650 puntos. Los compradores retendrán el control de las operaciones en caso de rebotar en el soporte y podrían moverse hacia los 10750 puntos.



NASDAQ

Panorama general:

Los índices de Wall Street abrieron la sesión del martes a la baja, arrastrados por las acciones del sector energético. Sin embargo, el NASDAQ recibió con un moderado apoyo de los valores del sector tecnológico.

Situación actual:

El índice mantuvo una dinámica mixta durante la jornada. El NASDAQ se desplazó hasta los 4800 puntos a comienzos del día. Las fuerzas alcistas perdieron impulso en torno a dicho nivel y corrigieron su posición hasta los niveles de apertura. Los vendedores presionaron activamente al índice durante la sesión estadounidense, pero fueron detenidos por los 4770 puntos. El NASDAQ puso a prueba la EMA 200 aunque no logró romperla, según se observa en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las EMA 200 y 50 apuntaron a la baja, mientras la EMA 100 permaneció neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 4800 y el soporte en 4770.

El crecimiento del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI se mantuvo dentro de la zona neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Creemos que el NASDAQ se moverá en dirección sur. Esperamos que el índice rompa los 4770 puntos y extienda su movimiento hacia los 4740, 4710 puntos.




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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Sáb Dic 10, 2016 10:28 pm

12.12.2016

Análisis tecnico

EURUSD

Panorama general:.
 
El dólar fortaleció su posición ante el dólar luego de que el BCE mantuviese sin cambios su política monetaria.
 
Situación actual:
 
El euro retomó su sendero bajista en la sesión del viernes. La moneda de la UE se distanció de sus máximos mensuales y borró sus recientes ganancias. El EURUSD extendió su movimiento al sur, rompiendo el soporte 1.0600 y quedando en 1.0550 durante la sesión europea. Los vendedores cruzaron esta marca tras la apertura de los mercados estadounidenses. En el gráfico de 4 horas se aprecia cómo la cotización rebota en la EMA 200 a la baja. El par rompió las EMA 50 y 100, desplazándose por debajo de las medias móviles. Las EMA 200 y 100 mantuvieron una dinámica bajista, mientras la EMA 50 permaneció neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0600 y el soporte en 1.0550.
 
El MACD ingresó en territorio negativo. Si el MACD permanece en dicha zona, los vendedores fortalecerán su posición. El RSI continuó en los niveles de sobreventa.
 
Recomendaciones:
 
Si el EURUSD se fija por debajo del soporte 1.0600, éste podría extender su descenso en el corto plazo. Los próximos objetivos de los vendedores se encuentran en 1.0550 y 1.0500.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:
 
Los resultados alentadores de la balanza comercial de Reino Unido en noviembre apoyaron a la libra esterlina.
 
Situación actual:
 
La moneda británica recuperó posiciones a comienzos del viernes. Los compradores impulsaron a la cotización hacia el nivel 1.2600, el cual puso a prueba a mediados de la sesión europea. Sin embargo, esta marca limitó el avance y devolvió al GBPUSD a la baja. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa cómo el GBPUSD rebota desde la EMA 50 y permanece por encima de las medias móviles. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2600 y el soporte en 1.2500.
 
El MACD ingresó en un área negativa. De permanecer en esta zona, los vendedores fortalecerían sus posiciones. El RSI mantuvo una dinámica neutral.
 
Recomendaciones:
 
La ruptura de 1.2600 podría sugerir una extensión bajista del GBPUSD. En tal escenario, el próximo objetivo de los vendedores estará en 1.2500.



USDJPY

Panorama general:
 
El yen japonés cayó frente al dólar tras registrarse un incremento en los rendimientos de bonos del Tesoro estadounidense, un factor que avivó la demanda de la moneda americana.
 
Situación actual:
 
El dólar extendió su trayectoria alcista de corto plazo. El impulso de los compradores permitió al par superar la resistencia 114.00 y, posteriormente, desplazarse hasta 115.00. La cotización superó dicha marca en la sesión estadounidense. El USDJPY rebotó desde la EMA 50 y se movió en dirección norte, según observamos en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las medias móviles mantuvieron una dinámica positiva. La resistencia se ubica en 115.00 y el soporte en 114.00.
 
El crecimiento del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El oscilador RSI se mantuvo cerca de los niveles de sobrecompra, validando un nuevo movimiento ascendente.
 
Recomendaciones:
 
La superación de 115.00 abriría el paso hacia la resistencia 116.00. En caso de romper este nivel, esperamos que la cotización extienda su avance hacia 117.00.



AUDUSD

Panorama general:
 
El dólar australiano operó de forma mixta ante diversas publicaciones económicas. En Australia, los préstamos hipotecarios cayeron el mes pasado. En China, el índice PMI superó las expectativas de los analistas.
 
Situación actual:
 
A pesar de que el AUDUSD se movió al alza en la sesión europea, su ascenso no duró por mucho. Los compradores perdieron impulso en torno a 0.7500, donde se encontraron con una fuerte resistencia. El dólar australiano rebotó en este nivel y se movió hacia 0.7450. La EMA 50 limitó el avance del par y le devolvió a la EMA 200, la cual contuvo el descenso. Las EMA 200 y 100 apuntaron a la baja, mientras la EMA 50 permaneció neutral. La resistencia se ubica en 0.7500 y el soporte en 0.7450.
 
El MACD se desarrolló en territorio negativo. El RSI se mantuvo en un área neutral.
 
Recomendaciones:
 
Si el AUDUSD no logra extender sus ganancias, los compradores podrían reducir su presencia. Un rebote en 0.7500 despejará el camino hacia 0.7450. A su vez, la ruptura de dicha marca abriría el paso a 0.7350.



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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Mar Dic 13, 2016 9:55 pm

14.12.2016

Análisis tecnico

EURUSD

Panorama general:

El euro cayó frente a su contraparte estadounidense ante un decepcionante índice de sentimiento económico de Alemania. Éste permaneció sin cambios, mientras los analistas contaban con un aumento.

Situación actual:

Desde una perspectiva técnica, el sentimiento de los inversores continúa siendo bajista. El par se encuentra dentro de un canal descendente. A lo largo del día, el euro se desplazó por encima del soporte 1.0600, manteniendo una dinámica moderada. Los vendedores están ganando popularidad en tanto el dólar recuperó parte de sus pérdidas previas. La moneda norteamericana se distanció de sus máximos semanales e intentó romper el nivel 1.0600. Ante la imposibilidad de retomar esta marca, el par rebotó a la baja de cara a la sesión estadounidense. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa el rebote en la EMA 100. La EMA 200 se movió en dirección sur, mientras las EMA 50 y 100 permanecieron neutrales. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0650 y el soporte en 1.0600.

El MACD operó a la baja. El RSI mostró una dinámica neutral.

Recomendaciones:

Esperamos que la tendencia bajista se extienda hacia 1.0600 en una primera instancia. En caso de romper dicha marca, los próximos objetivos estarán en 1.0550 y 1.0500.



GBPUSD

Panorama general:

La libra esterlina fortaleció su posición en el mercado, apoyada por el resultado alentador de los índices de precios al consumidor y de precios minoristas. Los precios de productores decepcionaron al mercado.

Situación actual:

La moneda británica mantiene una dinámica alcista esta semana. Tras retomar el nivel 1.2600, la libra extendió su crecimiento hacia su máximo semanal en 1.2700. Los compradores se enfrentaron a un soporte sólido en dicho nivel. En el gráfico de 4 horas se muestra cómo el par rebota en la EMA 100 y romper la EMA 50. Las medias móviles se movieron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2700 y el soporte en 1.2600.

El crecimiento del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI se aferró a los niveles de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Si la actual dinámica positiva persistiese en el mercado, la libra podría alcanzar el nivel 1.2740. De lo contrario, una fijación por debajo de 1.2650 detendría el crecimiento y abriría las puertas hacia 1.2600.



USDJPY

Panorama general:

Ante la falta de eventos económicas de relevancia en EE.UU. y Japón, los mercados adoptaron un posicionamiento moderado de cara al encuentro de la Fed y la confirmación de la subida de tipos.

Situación actual:

La tendencia alcista de las últimas cuatro semanas continúa vigente. Sin embargo, los vendedores fueron capaces de presionar levemente a la cotización a comienzos de esta semana. El dólar puso un freno a su reciente apreciación en torno a 116.00. En consecuencia, el USDJPY retrocedió hacia el soporte inmediato en 115.00, donde permaneció durante gran parte del martes. Según muestra el gráfico de 4 horas, la cotización se mantuvo por encima de las medias móviles a lo largo del día. Las EMA 50, 100 y 200 exhibieron una dinámica ascendente. La resistencia se ubica en 116.00 y el soporte en 115.00.

La inactividad del MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI abandonó el área de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

La estructura alcista del mercado se mantiene en su lugar y no esperamos cambios inmediatos. No obstante, el par podría corregir su posición a la baja o bien consolidarse en el corto plazo. Las miradas están puestas en la resistencia 115.00. La ruptura de la misma abriría el paso hacia 116.00.



USDCAD

Panorama general:

El reciente repunte de los precios petroleros apoyó notablemente al dólar canadiense, el cual también aprovechó el debilitamiento de su contraparte estadounidense.

Situación actual:

La estructura bajista del par, desarrollada tras alcanzar un pico en noviembre, continúa en su lugar. La cotización operó en torno a la banda inferior del rango descendente. El dólar americano encontró un soporte sólido alrededor de 1.3100, frenando así una racha perdedora de cinco sesiones consecutivas. El par permaneció dentro un intervalo estrecho durante la sesión europea y finalmente se liberó del mismo tras la apertura de Wall Street. La cotización se desarrolló por debajo de las medias móviles, según se observa en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios se movieron a la baja. La resistencia se ubica en 1.3120 y el soporte en 1.3050.

El MACD operó a la baja. El indicador RSI permaneció en los niveles de sobreventa.

Recomendaciones:

La ruptura de 1.3120 fortalecería la posición de los vendedores y abriría el camino hacia 1.3070-1.3050. Por el momento, esperamos que continúe la tendencia positivo hacia 1.3120.



XAUUSD

Panorama general:

Los precios del oro retomaron el sendero bajista ante las expectativas por la decisión de tipos de la Reserva Federal. La posible subida de las tasas de interés podría pesar fuertemente sobre el metal.

Situación actual:

El metal comenzó la sesión asiática a la baja, sin embargo, revirtió su dirección tras enfrentarse al soporte $1157 por onza. El par traspasó este nivel y se abrió paso hacia los $1160 por onza, recuperando parte de sus posiciones perdidas. Aunque el metal penetró dicho nivel, el ímpetu alcista perdió impulso y cayó a primeras horas de la sesión americana. Las medias móviles apuntaron a la baja en el gráfico de 4 horas. La resistencia se ubica en $1170 y el soporte en $1160 por onza. 

El MACD operó a la baja, mientras el RSI se aferró a los niveles de sobreventa.

Recomendaciones:

El XAUUSD deberá superar los $1170 para neutralizar a las presiones bajistas. Sin embargo, no hay argumentos sólidos para apoyar esta alternativa. Por el contrario, esperamos que el oro rompa los $1160 y extienda su descenso hacia los $1150 por onza.



BRENT

Panorama general:

Los precios petroleros detuvieron su avance en tanto surgieron dudas sobre la efectividad de los acuerdos firmados por la OPEP para apoyar a los precios petroleros. El crudo registró leves avances durante la jornada, a la espera los datos de inventarios.

Situación actual:

Tras un retroceso hasta los $55.50, los precios se estabilizaron en la sesión europea y reunieron fuerzas para una recuperación hacia $56.60. Sin embargo, los vendedores volvieron a empujar al Brent por debajo de los $55.50 durante la sesión estadounidense. La cotización permaneció por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 200 se mantuvo sin cambios, mientras las EMA 50 y 100 avanzaron al norte. La resistencia se ubica en $56.50 y el soporte en $55.50 por barril.

La reducción del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI abandonó la zona de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Si los precios se fija por debajo del soporte $55.50, la tendencia bajista podría extenderse en el corto plazo. Los potenciales objetivos se encuentran en $54.50 y $53.50.



DAX

Panorama general:

Las bolsas europeas se movieron al alza ante los datos alentadores de China y varios informes de ganancias corporativas, los cuales impulsaron el interés por los activos de riesgo.

Situación actual:

Los compradores dominaron las operaciones del martes. El DAX extendió sus ganancias tras romper los 11200 puntos. El índice alemán puso a prueba los 11300 puntos durante la sesión norteamericana, aunque no fue capaz de superarlos y se vio obligado a retroceder varias posiciones. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa como el par permaneció por encima de las EMA 50, 100 y 200. Los promedios apuntaron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en 11300 y el soporte en 11200.

La disminución del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI se aferró a los niveles de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Un movimiento por debajo del actual soporte sugerirá la reanudación de la dinámica bajista. Esperamos que el índice regrese a los 11100 puntos.



S&P500

Panorama general:

Los índices de Wall Street operaron al alza en la sesión del martes, apoyados en las expectativas sobre el encuentro del FOMC. Los inversores esperan que el regulador eleve sus tipos de interés.

Situación actual:

El índice extendió sus ganancias durante la jornada. Tras verse limitado por un rango estrecho en las sesiones asiática y europea, el índice repuntó hacia los 2260 puntos con la apertura de los mercados estadounidenses. Más tarde, el S&P500 se abrió paso hasta un máximo intradiario en los 2273 puntos. El índice se mantuvo por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios se movieron en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 2260 y el soporte en 2240.

El crecimiento del MACD confirma el fortalecimiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI permanece en el área de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:

Optaremos por posiciones largas ante un cierre por encima de 2260. Esperamos que el índice extienda su avance hasta los 2300 puntos.



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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Dom Dic 18, 2016 8:59 pm

19.12.2016


Análisis tecnico


EURUSD


Panorama general:


La balanza comercial de la eurozona disminuyó en octubre. El volumen de exportaciones registró una baja notable, mientras las importaciones crecieron en medio de la depreciación del euro.


Situación actual:


El euro recuperó algunas posiciones durante la sesión del viernes. Los operadores empujaron a la cotización hacia 1.0450, pero fueron incapaces de permanecer en dicho nivel. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa como la EMA 50 cruzó a la EMA 100 a la baja. Los promedios se movieron a la baja. La resistencia se ubica en 1.0450 y el soporte en 1.0400.


El crecimiento del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI permaneció cerca de los niveles de sobreventa, validando un nuevo movimiento bajista.


Recomendaciones:


La imposibilidad de romper la resistencia actual pondría presión sobre la cotización. Los vendedores podrían empujar al par hacia los niveles 1.0400, 1.0350.





GBPUSD

Panorama general:



El encuentro el Banco de Inglaterra no dejó ninguna sorpresa para los operadores. El regulador mantuvo sin cambios sus tipos de interés en 0.25%. La libra fue capaz de fortalecer su posición ante la corrección del dólar luego del rally del viernes.


Situación actual:


La libra esterlina revirtió parte de sus pérdidas durante la sesión del viernes. Esta recuperación se atribuye principalmente a la toma de beneficios de las posiciones cortas. Sin embargo, este movimiento no mostró señales de fortaleza y el dólar continúa liderando las operaciones. El par puso a prueba a la EMA 200 en el gráfico de 4 horas. Las EMA 100 y 200 mantuvieron una dinámica alcista, mientras la EMA 50 se movió a la baja. La resistencia se ubica en 1.2500 y el soporte en 1.2400.


El crecimiento del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI permaneció en los niveles de sobreventa.


Recomendaciones:


Aconsejamos tomar posiciones cortas hacia el primer objetivo en 1.2400. Si el par se consolida por debajo de este nivel, esperamos una extensión hacia 1.2300. La superación de 1.2500 podría debilitar al dólar y facilitar un avance hacia 1.2550.





USDJPY


Panorama general:


La agenda económica de Japón estuvo vacía el pasado viernes. Hoy, la atención de los operadores se centra en el encuentro del Banco de Japón, el cual se espera que mantenga sin cambios sus tipos de interés. No obstante, los comentarios de Kuroda podría afectar al yen.


Situación actual:


El USDJPY operó en torno a sus máximos de 10 meses, consolidándose por debajo de 118.00. En el gráfico de 4 horas se observa como el par permanece por encima de las medias móviles, las cuales mantienen una dinámica alcista. La resistencia se ubica en 118.00 y el soporte en 117.00.


La disminución del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI se mantiene dentro del área de sobrevaluación.


Recomendaciones:


En caso de romper por encima de 118.00, la cotización podría extender su avance hacia 119.00. Por otro lado, un movimiento por debajo de 117.00 neutralizaría a las fuerzas compradoras y abriría el camino hacia el soporte 115.00.





USDCAD


Panorama general:


La construcción de un menor número de viviendas en noviembre pesó sobre la moneda estadounidense. Por su parte, el repunte de los precios petroleros impulsaron a su rival canadiense.


Situación actual:


El dólar americano intentó extender sus ganancias a lo largo del viernes, saltando de 1.3330 a 1.3400 a comienzos del día. Sin embargo, los compradores se vieron limitados por esta última marca y debieron corregir su posición a la baja. En el gráfico de 4 horas, el par rompió a las EMA 50 y 100 al alza y puso a prueba a la EMA 200. Las EMA 200 y 100 apuntaron a la baja, mientras la EMA 50 se movió en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 1.3400 y el soporte en 1.3330.


El crecimiento del histograma MACD confirma la fortaleza de los compradores. El RSI se aferró a los niveles de sobrecompra.


Recomendaciones:


La cotización está avanzando hacia el soporte inmediato en 1.3330. La ruptura del mismo abriría el paso hacia 1.3260. El par se encuentra sobrecomprado y no descartamos una corrección hacia 1.3200.





XAUUSD


Panorama general:


Los precios del oro rebotaron desde sus mínimos de 10 meses, sin embargo, esperamos que los mismos se vean limitados por la decisión de la Fed de la semana anterior.


Situación actual:


El oro operó en un estrecho rango de consolidación, por encima de los 1122 dólares. Los precios rebotaron en los 1120 dólares y avanzaron hacia el área de resistencia en torno a los 1140 dólares. Sin embargo, la recuperación se vio frenada por este nivel y el metal regresó a los 1130 dólares por onza. El oro se movió por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. La resistencia se ubica en los 1140 dólares y el soporte en los 1130 dólares por onza.


El crecimiento del MACD confirma el debilitamiento de las posiciones vendedoras. El RSI permaneció en los niveles de sobreventa.


Recomendaciones:


Una eventual ruptura de los 1140 dólares despejaría el camino hacia los 1150 dólares. Sin embargo, un retroceso hacia los 1130 podría derivar en una extensión bajista hacia los 1120, 1110 dólares.





BRENT


Panorama general:


Los precios petroleros regresaron a sus máximos de 17 meses luego de que los productores de crudo reafirmasen su promesa de recortar los niveles de producción el próximo año.


Situación actual:


Los precios petroleros cerraron la semana en territorio positivo. El crudo Brent recuperó parte de sus posiciones durante la sesión del viernes, rompiendo los $54.50 y avanzando hacia los $55.50 por barril. La cotización superó la EMA 50 en el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 50 mantuvo una dinámica neutral, mientras las EMA 100 y 200 se movieron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en $55.50 y el soporte en $54.50 por barril.


El MACD se encuentra en la línea central. Si el histograma ingresa en territorio positivo, los compradores fortalecerán su posición. De lo contrario, los vendedores retomarán el control del mercado. El RSI se movió en dirección norte.


Recomendaciones:


Los $55.50 por barril limitan la extensión alcista del crudo Brent. Un cierre diario por encima de esta marca abriría el paso hacia los $56.50, $57.50. De lo contrario, los vendedores podrían empujar al crudo hacia los $53.50 y, en caso de penetrar este nivel, caer hacia los $51.50 por barril.





DAX


Los índices europeos cerraron en territorio positivo las operaciones de la semana previa, apoyados en el rendimiento de los sectores farmacéutico, químico y de transporte.


Situación actual:


El DAX abrió la sesión del viernes con una divergencia alcista, extendiendo sus ganancias previas y escalando hasta los 11400 puntos. El índice alemán alcanzó su máximo intradiario en los 11450 puntos, aunque más tarde regresó a los 11400. El índice se desarrolló por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. Los promedios se movieron al alza. La resistencia se ubica en 11400 y el soporte en 11300.


La disminución del MACD evidencia el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI continúa en los niveles de sobrevaluación.


Recomendaciones:


La superación de la actual resistencia abriría el paso hacia los 11500 puntos. Sin embargo, un cierre por debajo de los 11200 renovaría la trayectoria bajista hacia los 11100 puntos.





NASDAQ


Panorama general:


Los índices de Wall Street cerraron la semana anterior a la baja, arrastrados por las pérdidas en los sectores financiero y tecnológico.


Situación actual:


El índice terminó la sesión del viernes con una consolidación estrecha. A lo largo del día, el índice operó en torno a los 4940 puntos, aunque las fuerzas vendedoras le presionaron hacia los 4900. El Nasdaq permaneció por encima de las medias móviles en el gráfico de 4 horas. La EMA 50 cruzó a la EMA 100 en dirección norte. La resistencia se ubica en 4940 y el soporte en 4900.


La disminución del MACD evidencia el debilitamiento de las posiciones compradoras. El RSI continúa en los niveles de sobrevaluación.

Recomendaciones:



Un descenso hacia los 4900 puntos sugiere una extensión bajista. En tal escenario, los próximos objetivos del índice estarán en los 4865 y 4835 puntos.





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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Jue Dic 22, 2016 9:16 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

23.12.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar ignored positive US data on Thursday. Durable Goods Orders beat traders' expectations. Gross Domestic Product Price for Q3 came in a line with expectations while the Annualized GDP showed better-than-expected results.

Current situation

The euro strengthened further in the European session on Thursday, sending EUR/USD to fresh weekly highs. The pair broke the level 1.0450 in the early trades and made an attempt to reach its immediate resistance near 1.0500. However, bulls failed to reclaim the level and the  major currency pair returned to 1.0450 ahead of the NY opening. The 1 hour chart showed that the price broke the 50 and the 100 EMAs upwards and tested the 200-EMA in the same chart. The 50 and the 100 EMA were neutral while the 200 EMA pointed lower. The resistance is at 1.0450, the support comes in at 1.0400.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI went upwards which confirms the strength of buyers.

Trading recommendations

Despite of near-term oversold conditions, the euro is unlikely to show any meaningful recovery. All eyes are right now at the resistance level 1.0450. A cut through here will turn attention to the 1.0500 level. Inability to break higher will turn the market downwards.



Pound

General overview

The pound remained rangebound awating for GDP release on Friday.

Current situation

GBP/USD remained under pressure on Thursday. The pair hovered not far from its recent lows in the 1.2300 region. The price remained below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 EMA crossed the 200 EMA downwards. The 100 and the 200 EMAs averages were neutral while the 50 EMA pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

If the pound maintains its bearish tone a break below 1.2300 will suggest further decline towards 1.2250, en route 1.2200.



Yen

General overview

Japanese markets were closed amid the Emperor's Birthday celebration.

Current situation

A medium-term uptrend remained intact on Thursday. Bulls managed to reverse some of their recent losses and pushed the price from 117.00 to 118.00 in the early trades. The recovery was stalled around 117.70 where the pair stopped and stayed almost unmoved till the end of the European session. According to the 1 hour chart the price broke the 50 and the 100 EMAs. The currency pair remained between the 50 and 100 EMAs on the one side and the 200-EMA on the other. The 200 EMA kept heading higher while the 50 and the 100 EMAs were flat in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 118.00, the support comes in at 117.00.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was near neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We believe the USD/JPY pair will remain in a consolidation as the market became thinner ahead of Christmas weekend. Nevertheless, our outlook is still bullish, for a break through 118.00 resistance, towards 119.00 area, en route 120.00.



AUD/USD

General overview

Expectations over a faster US economic growth coupled with Donald Trump's aggressive fiscal spending program and hawkish Fed's outlook for 2017 make investors stay away from higher-yielding currencies, including the Australian Dollar.

Current situation

The bearish scenario prevailed on Thursday. The AUD/USD pair moved lower after two-day narrow consolidation. Sellers drove the Aussie from 0.7250 to 0.7200 during the European hours. The level 0.7200 stopped sellers. After touching the level prices rolled back. The Aussie bounced off the 50 EMA and moved downwards in the 1 hour chart. The moving averaged maintained their bearish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 0.7250, the support comes in at 0.7200.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bearish tone. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the levels at 0.7150 and 0.7100.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold remained unmoved on Thursday as trading volumes decline ahead of Christmas week-end.

Current situation

Gold remains bearish overall, with bias at the downside. The yellow metal showed little movement on Thursday and stayed in a narrow range between 1130 and 1135 dollars per ounce. According to the 1 hour chart the prices touched and bounced off the 50-EMA. The 50 and the 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 100 EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1140, the support stands at 1130 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers’. The RSI indicator held within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

We will stay out of trading waiting for fresh signals. A clear break of either side of the current consolidation range is needed to signal fresh direction.



Brent

General overview

Oil remained under pressure amid the US inventories rise. Moreover, may investors preferred to cut their long positions ahead of the upcoming holidays.

Current situation
 
Bren prices settled lower on Thursday. After a short consolidation during the Asian hours sellers pushed the price lower. They broke the resistance at 54.50 and headed towards 53.50 dollars per barrel. The downside movement was slow ahead of the US statistics and due to the thin market ahead of the Christmas holidays. The price broke 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages kept heading higher. The resistance lies at 54.50, the support comes in at 53.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator left neutral territory and moved south.

Trading recommendations

To trigger additional downward momentum towards 53.50 the price needs to fixates below the level 54.50.



DAX

General overview

The European equity market was neutral as markets became thinner ahead of Christmas holidays.

Current situation

DAX showed calm trades on Thursday. The benchmark slightly changed during the course of trades. The price remained in-between 11500 and 11400. The 1 hour chart showed that the price tested the 50-EMA. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 11500, the support stands at 11400.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator turned lower and moved towards neutral readings.

Trading recommendations

We won't trade until we see a break of the current consolidation structure.



NASDAQ

Current situation

The index traded mostly sideways on Thursday. The price stayed in a tight range between 4940 and 4950. The benchmark tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. NASDAQ remained above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which kept heading higher. The resistance is at 4980, the support comes in at 4940.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory. 
Trading recommendations

If the price drops below the support 4940, NASDAQ risks to test 4900.  




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Dom Dic 25, 2016 10:23 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

27.12.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro got support from the Euroland positive data. Consumer Confidence Survey in Germany coincided with the forecasts. Consumer Spending in France grew while GDP remained unchanged.

Current situation

The euro extended its recovery in holiday-quiet European session on Friday. However, its progress was subdued as most investors moved away to celebrate Christmas, leaving thin liquidity in the market. According to the 1 hour chart the price was between the 200-EMA and the 50-EMA. The 100 and the 200-EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA pointed higher. The resistance is at 1.0450, the support comes in at 1.0400.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.  
Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bearish tone. We recommend going short with the first target – 1.0400. Should the price consolidate below the first target EUR/USD may decline to the 1.0350 handle. Alternatively, the euro may maintain its bid tone if manages to reclaim 1.0450. In this scenario buyers will climb to 1.0500.



Pound

General overview

The pound ignored GDP for Q3 and Current Account upbeat data remaining under pressure on Friday.

Current situation

The GBP/USD remained in a bearish channel on Friday. A break below 1.23 reaffirmed the bearish sentiment in the market. Sellers made a sharp drop below 1.23 and posted a daily low at 1.2250 post-Europe open. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The moving averages kept heading lower. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations


If the price gets below 1.2250 a new wave of selling pressure may drag the pound below 1.22. The next sellers' target is 1.2160 support area where the pair may hang around for a while before eventually dropping to 1.2100 round figure mark.



Yen

General overview

The Japanese market was closed on Friday amid The Emperor's Birthday celebration. Meanwhile investors kept closing their positions ahead of Christmas holidays.

Current situation

USD/JPY is in a phase of downside consolidation. The pair traded with mild bearish tone. The market remained light on the last trading day of pre-Christmas week amid lack of liquidity. The price tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart but failed to move lower. The price remained above the moving averages which kept pointing higher. The resistance is highlighted at 118.00, the support comes in at 117.00.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI was neutral. 

Trading recommendations

The bearish scenario prevailed on Friday. The pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 117.00. After the handle break the next level to focus on is 119.00. A failure to break lower shall send this market upwards to 118.00 and 118.50. 



NZD/USD

General overview

The kiwi slowed down its decline amid the recent positive data: Current Account and Gross Domestic Product showed upbeat figures in the country.

Current situation

The pair remained around 0.6900 handle flirting with the level during the day. According to the 1 hour chart the price tested the 50-EMA. The price was well below the moving averages which kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance is at 0.6950, the support comes in at 0.6900.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

We expect an upward correction which will start as soon as the pair rises above the resistance level 0.6950. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7000 level.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices posted some gains on Friday. However, Friday’s trades were subdued amid Christmas holidays. The overall picture is bearish and the metal remains around 10-month lows. A strong dollar and planned rate hikes in 2017 keep weighing on gold.

Current situation

Some fresh bids helped the metal to retake 1130 level. The XAU/USD pair extended its recovery amid renewed weakness seen in the dollar. The price tested the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages turned out to be a solid barrier which held bulls’ recovery. The 50 and the 100-EMAs were neutral while 200-EMA pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1140, the support stands at 1130 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI entered the neutral territory. 

Trading recommendations

Despite the recent recovery a bearish tone prevailed in the 4 hours chart. Bears may break the level 1130 in the short-term and move prices to 1120 dollars per ounce.  



Brent

General overview

Oil prices ignored reports of rising Chinese oil demand and weakened amid a thin market on Friday. Investors kept cutting positions before week-end. 

Current situation
 
Brent returned in the red zone on Friday. An attempt to recover faced a rejection around 55.22 dollars per barrel. The benchmark declined in the early trades and tested to 54.50 in the European session. The price broke the 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA was neutral while the 100 and the 200-EMAs maintained their bullish slope. The resistance lies at 54.50, the support comes in at 53.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator was within neutral territory. 

Trading recommendations

We expect a downward correction which will start as soon as Brent drops below the support level 54.50.  



DAX

General overview

European shares traded higher on Friday despite a thin market ahead of the Christmas holiday.

Current situation

DAX gapped higher at the daily open on Friday. The price jumped to 11500 level, but failed the reclaim it. The index faced some rejection and retreated back to 11400. After testing the level the benchmark rolled back and erased the half of its daily losses. The price broke the 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. All moving averages maintained their bullish slope. The resistance exists at 11500, the support stands at 11400.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI moved south.

Trading recommendations

DAX is likely to resume its downward movement in the short term. Sellers need to break below 11400 first. After breaking the level sellers may lead prices to 11300.



SP500

General overview

Wall Street traded mixed on Friday despite gains in the Healthcare, Consumer Goods and Financials sectors.

Current situation

The index was in a buy mode in the early trades on Friday. S&P500 grew and touched 2260 post-Europe open. Having tested the level the price moved lower and posted a daily low at 2254. The benchmark grew after that and returned to 2260 hurdle by the end of the trades. The price broke the 50-EMA and was flirting with the line afterwards in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages kept heading higher. The resistance is at 2260, the support comes in at 2240.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market.  RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario now, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 2240.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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AUD/JPY en el soporte principal, resulta al alza

Mensaje  InstaForex Yendi el Lun Dic 26, 2016 6:10 pm


El precio ahora se está acercando al soporte principal en 83.74 (retroceso Fibonacci, proyección Fibonacci, soporte horizontal) donde esperamos un rebote para el precio a la resistencia de 84.92 (resistencia horizontal, proyección Fibonacci, retroceso Fibonacci).
El estocástico (21,5,3) está viendo soporte principal encima del nivel 14%.
Compre encima de 83.74. Stop loss en 83.09. Retiro de ganancias en 84.92.




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EUR/USD sigue al alza

Mensaje  InstaForex Yendi el Lun Dic 26, 2016 6:13 pm


Seguimos al alza encima del soporte 1.0418 (retroceso Fibonacci, soporte horizontal) para un impulso por lo menos hacia 1.0510 una vez más (retroceso Fibonaci, soporte horizontal).
El RSI 34 ha hecho una salida alcista señalando un cambio en el impulso.
Compre encima de 1.0418. Stop loss en 1.0347. Retiro de ganancias en 1.0510.




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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Mar Ene 03, 2017 9:58 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

04.01.2017

Euro


General overview

The euro ignored the upbeat data from the EU on Tuesday. Unemployment Change in Germany showed positive figures. Consumer Price Index in France grew as well. We expect European Services PMI and PMI Composite from Markit today.

Current situation

The pair opened on a stronger note on Tuesday. Buyers moved the pair from 1.0450 to 1.0500 in the early trades. However, an upward impetus stalled at the beginning of the European session. The currency pair experienced a notable USD demand amid prevalent risk-on sentiment. The euro dropped below 1.0450 and tested 1.0400 in the mid-European session. According to the 4 hours chart the price bounced off the 100 EMA and broke the 50 EMA downwards. The 100 and 200-EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA was neutral. The resistance is at 1.0450, the support comes in at 1.0400.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. 

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bearish tone. The pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 1.0350.



Pound


General overview

UK’s manufacturing PMI temporally supported the pound on Tuesday. However, a broad US dollar's strength limited the major gains.

Current situation

The pound was in a neutral-to-bearish stance on Tuesday. GBP/USD rebounded from earlier lows in the Asian session, however, the pound failed to advance beyond 1.2300 where the major ran through fresh offers. The pour dropped to 1.2245, however, a fresh bout of buying interest helped the sterling to reverse its early losses and returned the spot to the 1.23 hurdle. The price broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The major was unable to leave the 50 EMA region and stayed around it during the day. All moving averages kept pointing lower. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator remained within the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The bearish trend remains intact. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 1.2200.



Yen


General overview

Japanese markets were closed yesterday amid New Year holidays. The dollar kept strengthening versus the yen following the upbeat Chinese data which switched on the risk sentiment in the market. As it became known Chinese Manufacturing PMI for December showed better-than-expected results reaching the 4 year peak.

Current situation

USD/JPY returned to full bullish mode on Tuesday. A fresh wave of dollar buying interest lifted the pair to the multi-month peaks. After a brief consolidation in the Asian session on Tuesday the currency pair rallied to 118.00 at the beginning of the European session. The upward impulse stalled after testing the level where the USD/JPY pair remained before the NY opening. The price bounced off the 100-EMA and broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The spot remained above the 50-EMA during the day. The 100 and the 200-EMAs kept pointing higher while the 50-EMA turned neutral. The resistance is highlighted at 118.00, the support comes in at 117.00.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI headed towards the overbought readings.

Trading recommendations

The price maintains its bullish tone in the 4 hours chart. After a close above the resistance at 118.00 the pair may extend its growth to 119.00, en route to 120.00.



NZD/USD

General overview

The kiwi was able to regain some ground versus its US peer following solid Chinese manufacturing PMI data.

Current situation

Despite broad based greenback strength, the NZD/USD pair manages to recover in the early trades on Tuesday. The kiwi jumped upwards and broke the level 0.6950 in the mid-Asian session. However, overnight’s recovery attempt stalled just under 0.6950 barrier where the pair met a fresh selling interest. The NZD/USD pair returned below the level post-Europe open and headed towards its immediate support at 0.6900. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA upwards in the early trades. The currency pair failed to extend its gains and returned to the 50-EMA ahead of the NA session. The 100 and the 200-EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA was neutral. The resistance is at 0.6950, the support comes in at 0.6900.

MACD traded to the downside. RSI oscillator left the overvalued readings and was in the neutral territory during the day. 

Trading recommendations

The bearish scenario prevailed on Tuesday. We suppose the NZD/USD pair will go to 0.6900 first. Having overcome the first target the price might advance towards 0.6850.



XAU/USD

General overview

Better-than expected Chinese manufacturing PMI helped gold to erase some losses on Tuesday. 

Current situation

Gold managed to recover in the early trades on Tuesday. Gold prices grew to 1160 dollars per ounce where it came across a bunch of fresh offers which weighed on the benchmark. The price sharply dropped and returned to the opening level. The 4 hours chart showed that the price was struggling with the 100 during the day. The 100 and the 200-EMA maintained pointed lower while the 50-EMA was neutral. The resistance exists at 1160, the support stands at 1150 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI left the positive territory and headed south.

Trading recommendations

We recommend going short with the first target – 1140 dollars per ounce. When the price consolidates below the first target it risks declining towards 1130.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices extended their gains posting fresh 18-month highs following the news that Kuwait and Oman fulfill OPEC deal cut. The overall tone is positive as investors hope that an OPEC output cut deal will materialize this month.

Current situation
 
Brent had a positive start to 2017. The benchmark rallied to fresh daily top on Tuesday. Oil prices gapped higher at the daily open. An Asian attempt to reclaim 57.50 dollars per barrel failed and the price returned to the opening level. European traders made another attempt to break through the hurdle. They retook the level post-Europe open and headed towards 58.50. The benchmark was going to test the level in the NY session. Brent bounced off the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs kept pointing higher in the same chart. The resistance lies at 57.50, the support comes in at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within overvalued readings.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for rise towards 59.50 resistance area. However, the first buyers’ target is the level 58.50 dollars per barrel. 



DAX

General overview

European shares advanced amid oil amid metal prices jump following the upbeat China data. Moreover positive data from EU coupled with banking sector rise supported the European stocks.

Current situation

The index gapped higher at the daily open. However, buyers failed to extend their gains and returned to the opening level afterwards. According to the 4 hours chart the price bounced off the 50-EMA and hovered above the moving during the day. The moving averages kept pointing higher. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI oscillator consolidated within positive area.

Trading recommendations

In the scenario where the buyers keep control the price will advance to 11700.



NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street showed big gains on Tuesday. Investors had their eyes on the upcoming US Manufacturing. 

Current situation

NASDAQ gapped higher at the daily open on Tuesday. The index maintained its bid tone afterwards. Traders drove the benchmark to the 4900 hurdle where the upward trajectory slowed down. The 4 hours chart showed that the price bounced off the 200-EMA. The 100 and 200-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 50-EMA turned lower. The resistance is at 4900, the support comes in at 4865.

MACD traded to the upside. The RSI bounced off the oversold readings. 

Trading recommendations

A break above 4900 risks a growth towards the resistance at 4940. Should this mark be reached successfully, a further extension towards 4980 could be observed further.



 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Jue Ene 05, 2017 9:32 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

06.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro turned negative ahead of EU’s Producer Price Index on Thursday. Despite the better-than-expected figures the single European currency lost its value. The lack of strong data from the Euroland turned traders’ attention to the US calendar. The US was going to publish a bunch of labor market reports: ADP Employment Change and US Initial Jobless Claims. PMI Composite from Markit was worth our attention as well.

Current situation

The EUR/USD pair opened on a strong note on Thursday. The pair was able to advance up to 1.0574 where it met a barrier and turned bearish. The single European currency bounced off the mark and headed lower afterwards. Sellers broke the level 1.0550 during European morning trades and tested 1.0500 in the mid-European session. The currency pair returned to a decline ahead of the NY opening when bears headed towards 1.0450. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs upwards and tested the 200-EMA during the early trades. The euro failed to retake the bearish 200-EMA and bounced off the moving post-European open. The 100 and 200-EMAs pointed lower while the 50-EMA remained neutral. The resistance is at 1.0500, the support comes in at 1.0450.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI oscillator bounced off the overvalued readings. 

Trading recommendations

The bearish trend remained intact. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the levels 1.0450 and 1.0400. However, a move above 1.0550 may neutralize the current selling pressure. The EUR/USD pair may extend its recovery up to 1.0650.



Pound

General overview

The pound was able to strengthen versus its US peer amid soft Fed’s remarks. Moreover, the pound got some support on the back of the upbeat Services PMI.

Current situation

The sterling turned bearish when its recovery stalled at 1.2361. The currency pair ran through fresh offers, reversed its direction and dropped to 1.2269 at the Asian session end. After posting the session low buyers reversed some of their recent losses and returned to 1.2300 hurdle. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA upwards and tested the 100-EMA. GBP/USD stayed between the 50 and 100 EMAs afterwards. All moving averages kept pointing lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Despite the recent recovery the GBP/USD pair maintained its bearish tone in the 4 hours chart. If we see a close below 1.2300 we will go short. The next sellers’ targets are 1.2250 and 1.2200.



Yen

General overview

The US dollar keeps losing its value across the board amid growing uncertainty over the next Fed rate hike timing. Moreover, the Fed is uncertain about the upcoming Trump administration.

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair remained under intense selling pressure on Thursday. Sellers continued to dominate and dragged the pair lower in the Asian session. The downward move lacked momentum around 116.00. After posting a session low at 115.60 the US dollar staged an impressive recovery and erased all its early losses. The price returned to the opening prices where its recovery momentum stalled. Despite the ongoing recovery USD/JPY remained in bearish territory. The price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. The US dollar remained between the 100 and 200 EMAs the first part of the day. The 100 and the 200-EMAs kept pointing higher while the 50-EMA remained neutral. The resistance is highlighted at 117.00, the support comes in at 116.00.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI was within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

A bullish tone prevails in the 4 hours chart. We expect a full recovery which will start as soon as the USD/JPY pair rises above the resistance level 117.00. Buyers may move towards 118.00 and 119.00. Otherwise we will see the spot moving towards 115.00.



AUD/USD

Current situation

Recovery rally from 0.7150 ran out of steam a few pips below 0.7350. The pair turned bearish ahead of the European session opening. Sellers managed to push the price to 0.7300 handle where they took a breath gathering steam for more action. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs upwards. The Australian dollar failed to hold its gains and returned to the 100-EMA afterwards. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept pointing lower while the 50-EMA was flat. The resistance is at 0.7300, the support comes in at 0.7250.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings. 

Trading recommendations

Our mid-term view on the Aussie is bearish. A move below 0.7300 would suggest a resumption of a downward movement. In this scenario the AUD/USD pair might advance to 0.7250 and 0.7200. 



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold presumed its recovery on the back of a broad based US dollar weakness after dovish Fed minutes.

Current situation

Gold extended the two-day recovery on Thursday. The precious metal broke 1170 dollars per ounce and tested the 1180 hurdle in the Asian session. Buyers had no strength to move higher and retreated back to 1170. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 200-EMA upwards. The price continued developing well above the 200-EMA afterwards. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards in the mentioned timeframe. The 100 and the 200-EMA pointed lower while the 50-EMA was higher. The resistance exists at 1180, the support stands at 1170 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI indicator remained within undervalued territory.

Trading recommendations

We a bullish short-term and expect a growth towards 1190 dollars per ounce. Meanwhile only a break below 1150 will indicate that the current bullish recovery is over. In this scenario, sellers may lead prices towards 1130 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Brent ignored bullish US crude oil inventories and returned to a growth on Thursday. Brent oil prices got support after Saudi Arabia informed its customers to cut oil production, thus supporting OPEC plan to reduce global supply.

Current situation
 
Brent oil was modestly flat during the Asian hours on Thursday. The benchmark could move higher in the European session. Buyers broke the level 56.50 and trended to 57.50 dollars per barrel. The price was around 56.90 ahead of the NY opening. The “black gold” bounced off the 100-EMA and broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. Brent extended its gains after the 50-EMA break and moved away from the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAS maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 57.50, the support comes in at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator left oversold readings and entered the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

If buyers continue to dominate a close above 56.50 will trigger gains towards 57.50 and 58.50 dollars per barrel. 



DAX

General overview

European futures edged lower on Thursday but remained around their recent highs. Energy stocks traded mixed with French and Italian shares fell down and Norwegian companies shares gained. Financial stocks were mixed as well. French bank led its shares lower while Germany’s Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank shares rose.

Current situation

DAX30 gapped lower at the daily open when prices jumped from 11578 to 11552. The index turned around right after the gap and reversed all its losses. Buyers led the price to the nearest resistance level – 11600. However, bulls failed to retake the hurdle and the benchmark rolled back. According to the 1 hour chart the price tested the 50-EMA. DAX30 failed to break the 50-EMA and was struggling with it during the European hours. The benchmark remained above the moving averages which kept pointing higher in the same chart. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI indicator was within the undervalued territory favoring a move south.

Trading recommendations

The price is bullish on intraday charts. The index now seems to be struggling with its immediate resistance at 11600. Should the price break above the hurdle and the benchmark will extend its bullishness towards 11700.



NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street opened flat on the back of the mixed data. Initial Jobless Claims showed upbeat figures while ADP Employment Change came in the red.

Current situation

The bearish scenario prevailed on Thursday. The index moved lower from its recent high at 4940. Its further gains are limited by the current hurdle which rejects the benchmark on its any up-move. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 100-EMA upwards and tested the 50-EMA.The S&P500 continued developing well above the moving averages during the day. The 200-EMA pointed higher while the 50 and the 100-EMAs were neutral. The resistance is at 4940, the support comes in at 4900.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI entered the neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for a rise towards 4980 resistance area.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Vie Ene 06, 2017 8:25 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

09.01.2017

Euro

General overview

Weak data from the Eurozone slowed down buyers’ activity on Friday: Factory Orders and Retail Sales in Germany came in worse than expected. All eyes were on today's release of US NFP numbers which were expected to come around 180K.

Current situation

The bullish market structure remained in place on Friday. Buyers met a barrier at 1.0600 and had to step back. The EUR/USD rolled back in the Asian session and made another attempt to retake the level in the European one. A fresh selling pressure pushed the pair downwards ahead of the NY opening. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages were mixed with the 100 and 200 EMAs pointing lower and the 50-EMA turning upwards. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

The technical indicators kept heading north within positive territory. The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator remained within overvalued territory. 

Trading recommendations

The bullish momentum is likely to be regained if the pair extends its recovery towards 1.0650 and 1.0700 levels. On the other hand the upbeat NFP release may support the US dollar and weigh on the euro. In this scenario the currency pair will return to a downside and my drop to 1.0450.



Pound

General overview

There was nothing scheduled in the UK on Friday. Only the US data could move the market. Traders waited for labour data and Trade Balance figures.

Current situation

After climbing as high as the 1.2430 during Asian trades the cable lost strength and turned to a downside. The pound rolled back to the 1.2400 support region where it found decent support in the early trades. The GBP/USD pair move back and forth in an extremely narrow range during the European hours waiting for new stimulus. A fresh selling interest emerged ahead of the NY opening dragging the pair downwards. The price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs upwards in the 4 hours chart. The cable stayed between the bearish 100-EMA and neutral 200-EMA during the morning trades. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

The technical indicators retreated partially from overbought territory. MACD traded to the downside. The RSI indicator remained within overvalued readings.

Trading recommendations

We will place buy orders if the GBPUSD does a breakout at the resistance level of 1.2400. The price might extend its recovery towards 1.2450 and 1.2500. Alternatively, a move towards 1.23 would generate negative signal and risk further easing. Sellers may drive the pair to 1.2200.



Yen

General overview

The US dollar returned some lost ground following Trump’s threats to tax Toyota Motor Corp. if it builds a plant in Mexico.

Current situation

The overall structure is bullish. The market will be in bulls' hands until the price is above the current trend line. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair extended its recovery momentum from the 115.00 psychological mark in the Asian session on Friday. The US dollar reversed its early losses and returned above 116.00 hurdle. Buyers extended their gains and moved the spot upwards ahead of the NA session opening. The Asian recovery stalled at 116.37 and the dollar returned to 116.00 afterwards. According to the 4 hours chart the spot bounced off the 200-EMA. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards in the same chart. The 100 and the 200-EMAs pointed higher while the 50-EMA was lower. The resistance is highlighted at 116.00, the support comes in at 115.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI remained within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

A move below 115.00 will signal the presence of sellers. We cannot rule out the chance that the pair would try to get to the level at 114.00 in the short-term. Conversely, USD/JPY will resume its uptrend as soon, as the price rises above the resistance level 117.00.



NZD/USD

Current situation

The New Zealand dollar extended its recovery versus the US dollar in mid-Asia. However, the pair failed to advance beyond 0.7050 and jumped back after touching the level. NZD/USD was confined to the tight range between 0.7000 and 0.7030 during the European hours. A bout of fresh selling interest dragged the kiwi downwards ahead of the NY opening. The price sharply dropped to 0.7000 handle and extended its losses afterwards. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke 50 and 100-EMAs upwards and tested the 200-EMA. The price was battling with the neutral 200-EMA during the European session. The 50-EMA pointed higher while the 100-EMA turned south. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.7000.

The technical indicators headed north within bullish territory. The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ growing strength. The RSI indicator was within overvalued readings. 

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bullish tone. A break above 0.7050 risks a growth towards the resistance at 0.7100.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold futures edged lower on Friday on expectation of the US labor data hoping to get fresh clues over the Fed rate-hike plans in 2017.

Current situation

Gold prices retreated below 1180 after posting fresh weekly highs at 1184 dollars per ounce. The metal stayed range-bound to lower below the current hurdle during the European hours. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards in the same chart.  The 50-EMA pointed higher while the 100-EMA was flat and the 200-EMA pointed lower. The resistance exists at 1180, the support stands at 1170 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI indicator was within undervalued readings.

Trading recommendations

A bearish tone prevails in the 4 hours chart. We suppose the gold metal will decline to 1170 first. Having overcome the first target the price might advance towards 1160 dollars per ounce. A weak NFP release will support the precious metal sending it to fresh highs. The XAU/USD pair may reach 1190 in the short-term.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices strengthened after Crude inventories fell on Thursday. The market will be focused on oil rig count data report in the coming sessions.

Current situation
 
The market remains in bulls' hands. Brent strengthened further reaching fresh multi-month highs ion Friday. Buyers extended their upward trajectory towards 57.50 in the Asian session. Market participants failed to move the benchmark higher. The level rejected the price which slightly rolled back post-European opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the price was above all of its moving averages. The moving averages kept pointing higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 57.50, the support comes in at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator left neutral area and moved to upside. 

Trading recommendations


The bullish scenario prevailed on Friday. Once we break above 57.50, we think that the 58.50 level will be next.



DAX

General overview

European shares edged lower on Friday following a decline in precious and industrial metal sectors. Energy sector faced some selling pressure as well following a drop in European oil and gas index. Besides, traders took wait-and-see mode awaiting for US Non-farm payrolls release.

Current situation

DAX traded mostly sideways and the outlook for the day is mixed. The index went back and forth during the course of the session on Friday. The price struggled to take out the 50 EMA barrier during the first part of the day. The 100 and the 200-EMAs kept pointing higher while the 50-EMA was flat. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator stayed within neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

Sellers seem to be gaining more control. To trigger fresh downward momentum the index needs to break through 11500. After breaking the level sellers will target at 11400.



S&P500

General overview

Wall Street opened flat as traders were in “wait-and-see” mode ahead of US nonfarm payrolls release.

Current situation

S&P500 stayed in a tight range above 2260 during the European hours on Friday. According to the 4 hours chart the price bounced off the 50-EMAs. The benchmark continued developing well above the moving averages afterwards. The 100 and the 200-EMAs pointed higher while the 50 remained flat. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI indicator was within the overvalued territory close to the neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for rise towards 2280 resistance area.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Lun Ene 09, 2017 7:17 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

10.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The Euroland published mixed data on Monday. Industrial Production in Germany came in worse then expected while Trade Balance grew. The EU's Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at the same time. As a result traders stopped buying the euro and turned their attention to the US dollar.

Current situation

After a brief consolidation during the Asian hours bulls made another attempt to reclaim 1.1050 in the European session. Buyers were struggling with the level the whole morning but failed to regain it. The EUR/USD pair faced further downside pressure and moved towards 1.0500 it in the mid-European session. The spot broke the 200-EMA downwards and headed towards the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA and the 200-EMA maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA pointed higher. The resistance is at 1.0550, the support comes in at 1.0500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator remained within neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

We favor a near-term bearish bias. Below the 1.0500 handle the EURUSD pair is likely to target at 1.0450 and 1.0400 support levels.



Pound

General overview

The pound started the week in the red. The Cable weakened as Hard-Brexit concerns returned to the market. The pound got a minor support from House Prices from Halifax which came in better than expected.

Current situation

Sellers continued to dominate on Monday. The pound gapped lower at the daily open and immediately extended its weakness towards 1.2200 handle. After touching the level the selling pressure faded and the cable started a consolidation phase. However, the consolidation did not last long, another wave of selling pressure led the GBP/USD pair towards 1.2100. A downward impetus faded a few pips above 1.2200, after touching the mark 1.2123 the spot bounced off and erased a minor part of its fresh losses. According to the 1 hours chart the sterling broke all its moving averages downwards. The 50-EMA turned lower while the 100 and the 200-EMAs were flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

A bearish tone prevails in the 4 hours chart. Sellers may reach the level 1.2100 in the short-term, en route 1.2000. We cannot rule out the chance that the pair would try to recover to the 1.2200 – 1.2230 resistance region.



Yen

General overview

The Japanese markets were closed amid Coming-of-Age Day. The main point of focus shifted to the Fed's representatives (Rosengren and Lockhart) speeches.

Current situation

Fresh bids around 117.00 helped the US dollar to extend its gains in the Asian session on Monday. However, the buying pressure ran out of steam soon. After reaching the mark 117.50 the pair turned around and returned to 117.00 in the mid-European session. Sellers pushed the spot lower ahead of the NY opening. USD/JPY crossed the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and the 200-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 50-EMA was flat. The resistance is highlighted at 118.00, the support comes in at 117.00.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI left overvalued readings and headed south.

Trading recommendations

USDJPY needs to regain at least the 118.00 resistance zone to ease the immediate bearish pressure. Otherwise the sellers will move the pair to the 116.00, en route to 115.00. 



USD/CAD

General overview

The Canadian dollar retreated amid dollar strength and low oil prices.

Current situation

The bearish trend remained intact on Monday. An attempt to recover met a barrier at 1.3260 which rejected prices downwards. After touching the level the US dollar bounced off the hurdle and headed towards 1.3190 handle. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards in the same chart. The 50 and the 200-EMAs kept pointing lower while the 100-EMA moved higher. The resistance is highlighted at 1.3260, the support comes in at 1.3190.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was within oversold readings. 

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bearish for now. We expect further moving downwards. The potential sellers’ targets are 1.3190 and 1.3120. Alternatively, the currency pair may reverse its losses if it breaks 1.3260 upwards and will move towards 1.3330.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices moved lower amid dollar strengthening across the board.

Current situation

Gold had a good start on Monday. The price pushed away from 1170 and headed towards its immediate resistance at 1180 dollars per ounce in the early trades. However, buying impetus did not have legs and the price remained in a range between the current support and the resistance during the Asian hours. Buyers succeeded to retake the level ahead of the NY opening. After breaking the hurdle the XAU/USD pair advanced towards 1185. The price broke the 50-EMA and headed away from the moving averages in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1190, the support stands at 1180 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strengthening. RSI oscillator remained within overbought readings.

Trading recommendations

Buyers need to fixate above 1185 before a price can rally towards 1190 and 1200 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices got under pressure as Iran exports grows. Moreover Friday's Baker Hughes report showed a further rise in the number of rigs drilling oil in the US.

Current situation
 
The bullish market structure remained in place on Monday. Brent oil is still in an upward channel staying around its lower boundary. However, sellers made an attempt to leave the channel on Monday. Bears led the price to 56.50 dollars per barrel and were struggling with the level the first part of the day. The price broke lower ahead of the NY session opening. The benchmark broke the level and moved towards 55.50. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA downwards. The benchmark continued developing well above the 100 and the 200-EMAs afterwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed higher while the 100-EMA was flat in the same chart. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD moved to the downside. The RSI indicator left neutral area and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

We await a break below 55.50 to trigger another leg lower. In this scenario, sellers may lead prices towards 54.50 and 53.50 dollars per barrel.
 


DAX

General overview

The European stocks traded lower amid corporate reports and Germany data.

Current situation

DAX sharply dropped on Monday. Sellers led the price from 11600 to 11500 during the first part of the day. The price broke the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA was neutral while the 100 and the 200-EMAs kept pointing higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the neutral area favoring a new move lower. 

Trading recommendations

We recommend going short with the first target - 11500. When the price consolidates below the first target the benchmark may go to the level 11400.



NASDAQ

Current situation

Nasdaq opened on a positive note on Monday. Traders pushed the price higher and reached the mark 2275 at the begging of the European session. After testing the mark the benchmark sharply dropped to 2270. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. All moving averages kept pointing higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

The MACD histogram edged lower which is a sell signal. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

To trigger additional downward momentum towards 4940 the price needs to break the level 4980.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Mar Ene 10, 2017 8:31 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

11.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened the other day after EU's Investor Confidence upbeat data. However, the dollar managed to reverse some losses on Tuesday amid the recent Fed representatives’ remarks who supported the rate hike actions in 2017. Traders are in wait and see mode now awaiting for Trump’s conference which is set for January 11th. There were no relevant macroeconomic releases scheduled in the EU for Tuesday

Current situation

The euro momentum began fading after piercing the level 1.0600 during the early hours on Tuesday. Having posted the daily high at 1.0626 the EUR/USD pair retreated and returned below 1.0600 post-European session open. Sellers kept pushing the single European currency downwards ahead of the NY opening. According to the 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the 200-EMA which acted as a support for the currency pair. The 100 and the 200-EMAs were flat while the 50-EMA kept pointing higher. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

The technical indicators aim modestly lower within positive territory. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator stayed within undervalued territory. 

Trading recommendations

We expect to see renewed bearish pressure in the short-term. A break below 1.0550 may suggest further weakness of the EURUSD pair. The level 1.0500 may become the next bearish target.



Pound

General overview

The pound stabilized on Tuesday after Theresa May’s recent remarks. Moreover, hard-Brexit concerns continue weighing on the investors’ sentiment. Investors’ attention now turns to Manufacturing Production and Industrial Production releases.

Current situation

Bears kept the market in control tightening their grip. After a brief consolidation in the Asian session the pound extended its weakness on Tuesday. Sellers pushed the pair lower and reached 1.2100 with London opening. The spot was in a consolidation phase ahead of the NY session opening. The price stays well below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages maintained their bearish slope. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

The technical indicators turned lower. The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within oversold levels.

Trading recommendations

The pound is short term oversold and may reverse some losses. We do not rule out a minor recovery to 1.2200 which is a good chance to open short positions. Despite the oversold readings we do not see any signs the pair may change its current course any time soon. A move below 1.2100 will return sellers in the driver’s seat pushing the GBP/USD pair to 1.2000.



Yen

General overview

Consumer Confidence in Japan coincided with the forecast. The yen ignored the report and weakened versus the dollar before Trump's conference.

Current situation

Sellers managed to lead the price lower in the early trades on Tuesday. The price touched the level 115.00 and immediately bounced off it trading with mild bearish bias afterwards. The US dollar spent the first part of the day at 116.00. The ongoing recovery could be attributed to some profit taking from bears amid risk aversion. The price bounced off the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA pointed higher while the 50 and the 100-EMAs were flat. The resistance is highlighted at 116.00, the support comes in at 115.00.

The technical indicators are pointing lower and suggest further easing. The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI was within oversold readings close to the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bullish tone. A break above 116.00 suggests further growth towards 117.00. Alternatively, the dollar's inability to recover today could cause a drop towards the 114.00 handle.



AUD/USD

General overview

The Australian dollar weakened on Tuesday amid downbeat Retail Sales release. Moreover, disappointing releases of Chinese CPI weighed on the Aussie.

Current situation

An attempt to advance beyond 0.7350 failed on Tuesday. Buyers climbed up to 0.7385 where the pair came across fresh offers and dropped to 0.7350. After testing the level sellers continued battling with it trying to push the price lower. The 4 hours chart showed that the price tested the 200-EMA in the early trades. The 200-EMA slowed down bulls’ advance being a tough nut to crack acting as a resistance for the spot. The 100 and the 200-EMAs were neutral while the 50-EMA kept pointing higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7400, the support comes in at 0.7350.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator consolidated within undervalued readings. 

Trading recommendations

The bearish trend remained intact. If the price fixates below the support 0.7350, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential sellers’ targets are 0.7300 and 0.7250.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices hit 6-week highs amid broad base dollar retracement due to growing uncertainty over the Fed rate hike in 2017. The first Trump’s conference in 2017 attracts investors’ attention now.

Current situation

Gold extended its near-term bullish momentum and rose to its highest level since early December on Tuesday. Buyers led the price from 1180 to 1187 dollars per ounce where the advance lost upward momentum. A light selling interest weighed on the pair pushing it to 1182. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA kept pointing higher and crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 100 and the 200-EMAs were neutral. The resistance exists at 1190, the support stands at 1180 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator remained within undervalued territory.

Trading recommendations

We hold the view that gold prices will drop below the 1180 handle. The next level to focus on is 1170 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices recovered some ground on Tuesday on hopes that OPEC and non-OPEC members will cut oil output. The ongoing dollar weakness also aids the recovery in the black gold. Meanwhile investors await for API stockpiles data.

Current situation
 
Brent seems to have found a solid support at 54.50 dollars per barrel. The benchmark bounced off the level after testing it. Oil prices managed to reverse a minor portion of their losses overnight. Brent recovered to 55.50 where it spent the whole European session. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 50 and the 100 EMAs downwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs were flat while the 200-EMA pointed higher. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains within the negative readings, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator was within the oversold territory.

Trading recommendations

Now bears keep focus at 54.50 dollars per barrel. We think that further weakening to 53.50 is not ruled out.



DAX

General overview

European stocks slightly edged higher amid corporate earnings reports and commodity currencies strengthening. The recovery was limited amid concerns over Italian banks.

Current situation

DAX extended its consolidative pattern on Tuesday trading comfortably between 11600 and 11500, being unable to set short-term direction. Buyers moved the price to the upper boundary of the range in the Asian session. After touching the level the benchmark moved back and stopped around 11550 post-European open. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The price tested the 50-EMA and continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI was within the neutral area and headed upwards. 

Trading recommendations

We expect the index to remain in the current range. A clear break of either side is needed to signal fresh direction.



S&P500

General overview

US stocks were neutral at open amid oil prices flat.

Current situation

Sellers met a barrier at 2260 which rejected the price upwards. The benchmark was able to reverse a minor portion of yesterday’s losses and grew up to 2265 where the upward momentum lost its legs in the mid-European session. The price broke the 100-EMA upwards in the 1 hour chart. The 50 and 200-EMAs were flat while the 100-EMA pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

The price maintained its bullish tone in the 4 hours chart. A recovery above the 2280 level will favor an advance up to the 2300 region.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Miér Ene 11, 2017 11:14 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

12.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro turned bearish on yesterday's trades. The EU and US calendars were light. All investors’ attention focused on upcoming US President Donald Trump's speech.

Current situation

The euro continued moving lower yesterday. Traders pushed the price to 1.0550 where EUR/USD developed a short-term consolidation in the early trades. The pair ran through fresh offers on European open and accelerated its decline afterwards. Sellers broke below 1.0550 and dragged the single European currency to 1.0500. The price broke the 200-EMA downwards and tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and the 200-EMAs remained flat while the 50-EMA kept moving higher. The resistance is at 1.0550, the support comes in at 1.0500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator left undervalued territory and headed south. 

Trading recommendations

We believe the selling interest in the short term will remain intact. A breakout of 1.0500 would aim for next sellers’ target at 1.0450 and 1.0400.



Pound

General overview

The pound lost further ground on Wednesday. Concerns of 'hard Brexit' continued attracting fresh selling pressure around the Cable. Moreover, the mixed UK data failed to provide any sufficient support for the British pound: Industrial and Manufacturing Production came in positive while Trade Balance and Goods Trade Balance came in the red. Investors were also focused on BOE Governor Mark Carney's testimony before the Parliament during the US session.

Current situation

The Cable failed to sustain the Asian recovery which stalled around 1.2200. After touching the level the price bounced off it and weakened to 1.2100 after London's opening. Having touched the level the GBP/USD pair rolled back reversing some of its losses. The spot bounced downwards off the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The price continued developing well below the moving averages afterwards. The 200-EMA was neutral while the 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

The MACD histogram returned into the negative area, that indicates sellers’ growing strength. The RSI indicator was within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

The price maintained its bearish tone in the 4 hours chart. We would keep selling the Cable if the price drops below 1.2100, en route to 1.2000.



Yen

General overview

The dollar was able to reverse a minor portion of its recent losses awaiting for the Donald Trump's first news conference since the election.

Current situation

The pair traded sideways staying contained to a range of 50 pips or less during the Asian session on Wednesday. Buyers were able to regain more room in the early European trades. The spot climbed up to 116.43 where the upward momentum lost its legs. The price continued hovering above the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA limited the upside for the spot. The 200-EMA kept pointing higher while the 50 and the 100 EMAs moved lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 117.00, the support comes in at 116.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI left oversold readings and headed north.

Trading recommendations

A close above 117.00 will generate fresh bullish signal for further advance, which could extend to the 118.00 hurdle. Conversely, a move below 115.00 would revive bearishness towards 114.00.



NZD/USD

General overview

The NZD/USD edged lower amid a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, oil prices weakening weigh on commodity currencies – like the kiwi.

Current situation

The NZD/USD pair turned positive on Wednesday. An overnight rebound lifted the kiwi out of the red. The New Zealand dollar broke 0.7000 in the Asian session and headed towards 0.7050 in European trades. However, the upward momentum faded soon. After posting a daily high at 0.7020 the NZD returned to 0.7000 handle. The price was between the 50 and the 200-EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA headed north crossing the 100-EMA upwards. The 100 and the 200-EMAs were flat in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7000, the support comes in at 0.6950.

MACD traded to the downside. The RSI indicator left the overvalued readings and entered the neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

We expect the NZDUSD pair to return to the support 0.6950 in the short-term. In this scenario the spot may continue its decline towards 0.6900.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold stayed bullish heading into Trump’s new conference scheduled later on the day.

Current situation

Gold maintained its bid tone trading in the green zone on Wednesday. The upmove, however, lacked momentum around 1190 where the precious metal faced sellers' resistance. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA remained flat. The resistance exists at 1190, the support stands at 1180 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirmed the strength of buyers. RSI indicator consolidated within undervalued territory.

Trading recommendations

We consider a possible correction towards the support 1180. Should the metal breaks the level down the pair may extend its losses towards 1170 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices managed to reverse a minor portion of their losses in the early trades on Wednesday. However, the recovery was limited due to doubts over OPEC deal non-compliance.

Current situation
 
Oil prices found strong support at the level of 53.50 dollars per barrel. Being unable to break the handle the benchmark rolled back. The ongoing recovery could be attributed to some profit taking from bears following Tuesday's sharp sell-off. Brent oil prices were calm during the Asian session and accelerated their growth in the European one. The price was struggling with the 200-EMA which provided a solid support for the Brent in the 4 hours chart. The 100 was neutral, the 200-EMAs moved upwards while the 50-EMA headed south in the same chart. The resistance lies at 54.50, the support comes in at 53.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within the oversold territory.

Trading recommendations

We believe the market is overbought and vulnerable to a further downward correction. Brent may suffer more losses if the benchmark breaks below 53.50. Sellers may drag the price towards 52.50 dollars per barrel.



DAX

General overview

European financial stocks edged higher despite cautious sentiment in the market amid Donald Trump's press-conference.

Current situation

Traders kept the price in a near-term directionless mode in the Asian session Wednesday. DAX extended its consolidative pattern staying in the familiar range between 11600 and 11500 levels. The index started the day from the upper limit of the range. Staying around 11600 in the Asian session the benchmark sharply dropped to 11520 at the start of the European session. After touching the level 11500 the benchmark reversed its direction and jumped back to the 11600 hurdle. The price bounced off the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI left the neutral area and headed north. 

Trading recommendations

Any move below the immediate support would increase chances of testing the 11500 mark, en route to 11400. Alternatively, a bullish momentum is likely to be regained if the benchmark breaks above 11600.



NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street futures were flat at the open on Wednesday as investors looked forward to Trump’s first press conference since his election victory later in the day. Traders did not hurry to build up fresh positions preferring wait and see mode.

Current situation

After posting fresh multi months highs at 5044 the index rolled back and returned to 5020 where buyers took a breath consolidating their recent gains. Another attempt to grow took place in the early trades on Wednesday. Buyers managed to reverse their early losses and moved the benchmark to 5030. According to the 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The moving averages kept pointing higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 5060, the support comes in at 5020.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI consolidated within the positive area.

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bearish for now. If we see a close below 5020 we will sell. Our next level to focus on is 4980.



 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Jue Ene 12, 2017 9:18 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

13.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro slowed down with its growth despite the positive EU data. Consumer Price index met traders' expectations in France while the EU's Industrial Production came in better than expected.

Current situation

The euro extended its near-term upward trajectory in the early trades on Thursday. The single European currency broke 1.0600 during the Asian night trade and advanced towards 1.0650 afterwards. The pair pierced the 1.0650 hurdle post-European open and immediately returned below the broken level. EUR/USD rally seems to have ran out of steam as we witnessed the price inability to reclaim 1.0650 in the late European session. The spot hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA was neutral while the 50 and the 100-EMAS pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator left neutral territory and headed north. 

Trading recommendations

Even though the technical picture presents a bullish tone we expect a correction based on profit taking which may start as soon as the price drops below the 1.0600 level. In this case the spot may reach 1.0550. A move below 1.0550 will neutralize the current buying sentiment.



Pound

General overview

There were no major economic releases in the UK on Thursday. Donald Trump failed to give investors details on his future economic policy. The traders' disappointment triggered a sharp dollar sell-off which helped the pound to reverse some ground. Later in the day we expect to hear some Fed's representatives including J.Yellen.

Current situation

The pound kept its upbeat tone unchanged vs. its US peer on Thursday. The Cable broke 1.2200 during the early hours and extended its bullishness afterwards. Buyers kept pushing the pair upwards and tested the resistance 1.2300 at the beginning of the European session. After touching the level the spot rolled back gathering steam for another leg higher. The short term upward momentum, however, seems to be fading as the Cable kept losing its upward strength during the late European hours. The price broke the 50-EMA upwards and pierced the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages maintained bearish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator left the neutral area and headed upwards.

Trading recommendations

Despite the recent rally the pair remained in a descending channel. If the spot fails to retake 1.2300 the pound may fall to 1.2200 on profit-taking. A close above 1.2300 may extend the current bullishness towards 1.2400.



Yen

General overview

The yen strengthened after Trump's press-conference where the President-elect Donald Trump failed to provide investors with enough details regarding his future economic plans. Japanese Current Account came in better than expected supporting the national currency.

Current situation

The US dollar extended its sell off on Thursday. A fresh bout of selling pressure drove the USD/JPY pair below 115.00 at the open on Thursday. The US dollar kept losing its value afterwards and reached the 114.00 handle during European morning trade. Sellers failed to regain the level and continued struggling with the handle ahead of the NY session opening, According to the 4 hours chart the price continued staying below the moving averages which started turning downwards. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI remained within oversold readings favoring a new move downwards.

Trading recommendations

Inability to break below 114.00 may cause some profit-taking towards 115.00. If the pressure persists the next probable sellers target will become the level 113.00.



USD/CAD

General overview

The US dollar retracement after the president-elect Donald Trump helped the Canadian dollar to extend its gains. Moreover, the CAD received additional support from the recovery in crude oil prices. We expect to see fresh figures over New Housing Price later the day.

Current situation

Bears had the ball and kept pushing the pair lower on Thursday. The US dollar had a negative start to the day. The major found fresh offers around 1.3190 at the daily open and extended its bearishness afterwards. The USD/CAD pair broke 1.3120 at the early European trades and kept trending towards 1.3050 which it touched in the mid-European session. The downward move lost its momentum after touching the handle and the spot stayed around it till the North American session opening. The currency pair continued developing well below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and the 200 EMAs downwards. The moving averages maintained their bearish slope in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 1.3120, the support comes in at 1.3050.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI indicator stayed within the negative territory and moved downwards. 

Trading recommendations

If the USD/CAD fails to regain 1.3050 buyers may reverse some of their losses and push the pair back to 1.3120. A break below 1.3050 will revive bearishness towards 1.2980.



XAU/USD

General overview

Unclear Donald Trump's plans regarding his future economic/fiscal policies boosted gold prices towards 7-week highs.

Current situation

The gold held a bullish tone on Thursday. Traders pushed the metal higher and broke 1200 in the early European trades. The pair accelerated its rally after the hurdle break and advanced towards 1210 dollars per ounce afterwards. The gold spot hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA headed north crossing the 200-EMA upwards. The 200-EMA stayed flat while the 100-EMA pointed higher. The resistance exists at 1210, the support stands at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI indicator remained within undervalued territory favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

Daily studies turned bullish and support further upside. A break above 1210 may open the way towards 1220. A downtrend will start as soon, as gold prices drop below the support level 1180 dollars per ounce. We do not exclude some profit-taking after the recent rally.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices received support from the US dollar retracement. However, its growth is limited amid crude inventories growth.

Current situation
 
Oil prices maintained their bid tone on Thursday. The 55.50 hurdle stopped buyers for a while. The benchmark rolled back after testing the level in the Asian session and made another attempt to reclaim the level during the European hours. Buyers succeeded to break higher in the mid-European session. The benchmark extended its gains towards 56.50 ahead of the NA session opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the price tested the 50 and 100 EMAs in the mid-European trades. The 100 and the 200-EMAs pointed higher while the 50-EMA was neutral. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

The bullish trend remained intact. A break above 56.50 risks a growth towards the resistance at 57.50 dollars per barrel. A daily close below 55.50 will increase risks of a downside rejection.



DAX

General overview

European stocks moved lower following Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare sector decrease after Donald Trump’s press-conference where he took on drug prices.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the daily open and lost its strength further afterwards. Sellers pushed the price below 11600 during the early European hours on Thursday. However, all sellers’ attempts to extend their gains failed and the benchmark remained around 11600 ahead of the NY session opening. The price tested the 50 and the 100 EMAs in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages kept pointing higher in the same chart. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within the neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

The bullish scenario prevailed on Thursday. Once we break above 11600, we think that the 11700 level will be next.



SPX500

Current situation

The index suffered a short lived downward movement on Thursday. Traders led the price lower and touched the level 2260 in early European trades. The benchmark retracement was triggered by some profit taking after Wednesday's rally. The price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs downwards and bounced off the 200-EMA in the 1 hour chat. The moving averages were neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market if the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. RSI was within the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We believe the index will remain neutral tending to move lower. The possible sellers' targets are the marks 2260 and 2254. A bounce off 2260 may extend the current bullishness towards 2280.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Dom Ene 15, 2017 10:04 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

16.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The mixed US data supported the dollar on Friday. Retail Sales disappointed investors while Producer Price Index came in better than expected. The euro weakened despite upbeat Wholesale Price Index in Germany and Consumer Price Index in Spain.

Current situation

The euro made an attempt to return its upward bias on Friday. The pair failed to sustain the Asian pull back as sellers met a barrier at 1.0600 which rejected the spot upwards. The EUR/USD pair grew and touched 1.0650 in the mid-European session. The single European currency had reversed all its losses by the NY session opening. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA touched the 200-EMA. The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept pointing higher while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI oscillator was within overvalued territory.
 
Trading recommendations

Inability to break above 1.0650 may return selling interest to markets. Once we break below 1.0600, we think that the 1.0550 and 1.0500 levels will be next. In order to recover EUR/USD needs to rise back and hold above 1.0650.



Pound

General overview

The US dollar strengthened on the back of upbeat Producer Price Index. Meanwhile, the Cable had to retreat amid a stronger dollar and renewed concerns over a hard Brexit.

Current situation

The recent pull back lost its strength above 1.2100 in the early trades on Friday. The pound ran through fresh bids post London’s opening and sharply turned around. Buyers led the price upwards and touched the level 1.2200 in the mid-European session. After touching the level the upward momentum faded, the pound sharply dropped and extended its weakness to 1.2118. The price bounced off the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving average limited its growth acting as a solid resistance. All moving averages maintained their bearish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

MACD traded to the downside. RSI oscillator remained within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

The GBPUSD pair could gain momentum, if it recovers above the 1.2200 area. A break above the hurdle will maintain bulls in the driver's seat towards the level 1.2300. Conversely, a move below 1.2100 will signal the return of sellers who may drag the price to 1.2000.



Yen

General overview

The US dollar tried to reverse its recent losses vs. the yen. Meanwhile, markets ignored Chinese data: Trade Balance, Exports and Imports.

Current situation

The US dollar temporally retuned to its upward trajectory after the Asian decline on Friday. Buyers managed to maintain their bid tone and broke 115.00 ahead of the NY session opening. However, the upmove soon lost momentum and the USD/JPY pair returned below 115.00 in the NA session. Traders were driving the price towards 114.00 the second part of the North American session. The pair bounced off the 100-EMA and tested the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages headed lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI remained within oversold readings close to the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The price maintained its bearish tone in the 4 hours chart. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the levels 114.00 and 113.00 unless buyers manage to consolidate above 116.00.



AUD/USD

General overview

The US dollar grew vs. its Australian peer on the back of the US data when upbeat Producer Price Index overwhelmed negative Retail Sales report.

Current situation

The dollar retracement assisted to the Aussie recovery in the early trades on Friday. After posting the weekly high at 0.7516 the pair slightly rolled back and returned to the nearest hurdle at 0.7500 on Thursday. The spot spent the night and morning sessions on Friday around the level struggling to move higher. A fresh selling interest drove prices to 0.7450 in the NY session. Sellers lost their strength after testing the level 0.7450 which rejected the spot to 0.7500. According to the 4 hours chart the price hovered above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was flat. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7450.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was within the positive territory. 

Trading recommendations

We believe that after a close above the resistance at 0.7500 the spot AUD/USD may extend its growth to 0.7550. On the other hand, a sharp breakout below 0.7450 could spark a further incline towards 0.7400 in the coming sessions.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold maintained its bid tone on Friday as the uncertainties surrounding Trump’s future policies supported the demand for the precious metal.

Current situation

The gold extended its upward momentum on Friday. A bout of fresh buying interest pushed the spot upwards. The price pushed away from 1190 at the beginning of the European session and reached 1200 dollars per ounce. The 1 hour chart showed that the price tested the 50-EMA. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1200, the support stands at 1190 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bullish for now. Our next short-term objective for the pair is 1200, after which we may see the pair extending its rise towards the 1210. However, gold is overbought and needs some technical correction. We believe the price may decline to 1180 on profit-taking.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices were unmoved on Friday as investors kept wondering whether the OPEC and non-OPEC members will abide the recent output cut agreement reached in 2016.

Current situation
 
After reaching 56.50 dollars per barrel Brent rolled back to 55.50. The benchmark started Friday in a consolidation. Brent extended its sideways trades during the European session. The “black gold” was range-bound-to lower during the day. The price broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 50 and the 100-EMA were neutral while the 200-EMA headed higher. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI left the positive area and headed downwards.

Trading recommendations

The bearish sentiment remained intact on Friday. A move below 55.50 dollars per barrel suggests further weakness of the oil prices. After breaking 54.50 the level 53.50 will come to the radar.



DAX

General overview

European markets sentiment improved on Friday after the recent remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Financial stocks and automobile sector were broadly higher while mining stocks moved lower.

Current situation

The index traded in its familiar range on Friday. The price was trading between 11600 and 11500 levels. Traders were unable to choose direction and were holding the benchmark in the range during the day. The moving averages maintained their bearish slope in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within the neutral area.  

Trading recommendations

The price is unable to climb above 11600. Sellers might force DAX to resume its downward trajectory towards 11500.



NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street traded higher on Friday amid the upbeat U.S. quarterly reports.

Current situation

The index was flat the first part of the day. The benchmark hovered above 5020 handle in a narrow range of 50 pips or less. NASDAQ turned higher in the North American session. The price rallied to 5060 and tested the level post-NY session opening. The index broke the 50 and the 100-EMAs upwards in the 1 hour chat. The benchmark continued developing well above its moving averages afterwards. All moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 5060, the support comes in at 5020.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

If bears return control the next intraday supports and probable bearish target is 5020. Conversely, a daily close above 5060 will open the way towards 5080.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Lun Ene 16, 2017 6:00 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

17.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro got a minor support after the EU's trade Balance. Today we expect to see Economic Sentiment for January from ZEW which is expected to show upbeat figures.

Current situation

The euro weakened on Monday. After the gap downwards the pair kept moving in the red. Sellers broke the level 1.0600 ahead of the European opening. After breaking the level sellers extended their gains pushing the spot towards 1.0550. However, EUR/USD's momentum remained positive despite the ongoing decline. The euro stayed above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs headed north while the 200-EMA remained flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator left the overvalued territory and moved south.

Trading recommendations

Sellers are likely to extend their gains in the short-term. The first sellers’ target is 1.0550. A close below the handle will generate fresh selling pressure towards 1.0500.



Pound

General overview

The Pound has hit its lowest level for more than three months on Monday. The pound fell ahead of Theresa May’s speech tomorrow. Investors expect to hear from the PM how the UK's government plans to leave the EU.

Current situation

The pound gapped lower at the daily open on Monday. The price jumped from 1.2184 to 1.1197, however, it was able to reverse a minor portion of its losses afterwards. Buyers pushed the Cable higher and almost reached 1.2100 hurdle at the beginning of the European trades. Bulls failed to retake the level and stepped back. The sterling dropped below the moving averaged and stayed there in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages headed lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2100, the support comes in at 1.2000.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI stayed within the negative area.

Trading recommendations

A bearish tone prevails in the 4 hours chart. The GBP/USD pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 1.2000. After the level break sellers may aim at 1.1900.



Yen

Current situation

The US dollar gapped lower at the weekly open and extended its losses afterwards. Sellers tested the level 114.00 and immediately bounced off the handle. The pair spent the European trades above 114.00 staying in a narrow range. According to the 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and the 200-EMAs kept heading lower while the 200-EMA was flat. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI remained within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

USD/JPY is having difficulties to go any lower. All eyes are right now at the resistance level 115.00. A cut through here will turn attention to the 116.00 level.



NZD/USD

Current situation

The kiwi returned to the negative territory on Monday. The New Zealand dollar gapped lower at the daily open. However, buyers managed to erase all losses and even showed fresh gains moving the price to 0.7150. After touching the resistance bulls lost their upward momentum and had to retreat. Sellers seized control and pushed the spot below 0.7100. After breaking the handle the kiwi continued losing its value heading towards 0.7050. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs headed upwards while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7150, the support comes in at 0.7050.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator headed downwards. 

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bearish for now. We think that the NZD/USD will reach the 0.7050 level first. The spot may extend its decline afterwards aiming at 0.7000.



XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold extended its vertical rise on Monday. Buyers were stronger and moved the price higher. They broke the resistance 1200 dollars per ounce and almost reached 1210. The pair lost its strength a few pips below the level and rolled back to 1200 in the European session. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was flat. The resistance exists at 1210, the support stands at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI remained within overvalued readings.

Trading recommendations

A close below the 1200 level would generate negative signal and risk further easing. We expect a further advance towards 1190 dollars per ounce afterwards.



Brent

Current situation
 
Brent presented a modest bearish tone on Monday. After a brief consolidation during the Asian hours bears seized the ball and pushed the price below 55.50 dollars per barrel in the European session. After breaking the level sellers kept moving oil prices towards 54.50. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs during the European hours. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 200 and the 100-EMAs headed higher while the 50-EMA was flat. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI was within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

The bearish scenario prevailed on Monday. Sellers may extend their bearishness if they fixate below 55.50 dollars per barrel. After a daily close below the level we could see Brent extending down to the 53.50 region during the next days.



DAX

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the daily open on Monday. The index humped from 11606 to 11562 and traded mixed afterwards. The benchmark remained in a familiar range tending to move lower. The price broke the 200-EMA in the 1 hour chart in the European session. The 200-EMA headed higher while the 50 and the 100-EMA were flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI was within the neutral territory.  

Trading recommendations

We expect a downtrend movement after the price break 11500. The next probable bearish target is 11400.



S&P500

Current situation

The index edged lower on Monday. Sellers pushed the price from 2273 to 2264 during the first half of the day. The price tested the 50 EMA in the 4 hours chat. The 50 and the 200-EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was flat in the same chart. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI left the undervalued readings and entered the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

We believe that the downtrend will start as soon, as the price drops below the support level 2260. The benchmark may slow down to the 2240 area afterwards.



 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Mar Ene 17, 2017 10:36 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

18.01.2017

Euro

General overview

Economic Sentiment in Germany for January disappointed investors. The market focused on Consumer Price Index in Germany and the EU.

Current situation

We believe that this is essentially a “buy only” market at the moment. The pair remained in a near term upward channel on Tuesday. Bulls kept control and pushed the price higher in the Asian session. The euro rallied and broke 1.0650 in the mid-Asian session. The single European currency extended its gains afterwards and reached 1.0700 in the mid European session. According to the 1 hour chart the price bounced off the 100-EMA and crossed the 50-EMA upwards. The price stayed above the moving averages which maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0700, the support comes in at 1.0650.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator left the neutral area and returned to the positive territory. 

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bullish tone. The EURUSD pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate resistance near 1.0700. After the hurdle break the next level to focus on is 1.0750. We also do not exclude a roll back on profit taking after Tuesday’s rally. Sellers may erase some losses if manage to lead the spot below 1.0650, en route to 1.0600.



Pound

General overview

All eyes are on Unemployment Rate and Average Earnings where we expect green figures.

Current situation

Bulls were gradually gaining more overall control on Tuesday. A sharp short-term rally helped the Cable to close Monday's gap. The pound broke 1.2100 in the Asian session and touched 1.2200 ahead of the European session opening. The sterling momentum began to fade after testing the level. The price rolled back, but remained around 1.2200. The price grew and tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The spot continued developing well below its moving averages which kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

We may see renewed bullish pressure if the GBP/USD pair closes above 1.2200. A daily close above 1.2200 would risk a further rise of the pair towards 1.2300. If the hurdle holds the spot may return to red and refresh lows at 1.2000.



Yen

General overview

The dollar edged lower on expectations of Trump’s inauguration in Friday. Moreover, Industrial Production in Japan came in a line with expectations thus supporting the national currency.

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair extended its bearishness on Tuesday. The US dollar continued to trade in negative ground. Sellers broke below 114.00 during the early Asian hours. The spot kept losing its value afterwards and reached 113.00 in the mid-European session. Bears managed to reclaim the level ahead of the NY session opening. The price remained below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 200-EMA remained neutral. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI stayed within oversold readings and headed south.

Trading recommendations

A bearish tone prevailed in the 4 hours chart. To trigger additional downward momentum towards 112.00 the price needs to consolidate below the level 113.00. A failure to retake 113.00 may cause some profit-taking. Buyers may return the price to 114.00.



USD/CAD

General overview

The broad base dollar retracement helped the CAD to strengthen. Investors’ attention now turns to the BOC Rate Statement and Interest Rate Decision.

Current situation

The USD/CAD recovery stalled at 1.3190. The spot came across sellers’ pressure around the level and sharply dropped in the Asian session on Tuesday. The price broke 1.3120 and tested 1.3050 in the European trade. The 4 hours chart showed that the price bounced off the 50-EMA downwards. The price continued developing well below its moving averages afterwards. The moving averages kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 1.3120, the support comes in at 1.3050.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI indicator left the neutral area and stayed within oversold territory. 

Trading recommendations

The bearish trend remained intact. We suppose the USD/CAD pair will break the 1.0350 level first. Having overcome the first target the spot might advance towards 1.2980.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold strengthened amid risk-off sentiments ahead of Theresa May's speech which was expected to be hard.

Current situation

Gold had another positive day on Tuesday. The XAU/USD pair jumped to a fresh weekly high in the Asian session. Buyers moved the price upwards and broke 1210 dollars per ounce in the early European trades. Having broken the level the gold spot extended its gains and approached the 1220 hurdle where the buying impetus faded. The price hovered above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA remained flat. The resistance exists at 1220, the support stands at 1210 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

Sustained break above 1220 region is seen as minimum requirement needed to confirm bullish resumption. Otherwise sellers may lead prices towards 1210 and 1200 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Brent strengthened on hopes that OPEC and non-OPEC members will keep to their production cut deal.

Current situation
 
Bulls fought back control and pushed the price higher on Tuesday. The benchmark jumped to 56.50 ahead of the European session opening. The upmove lost its legs after the level test. The price bounced off the 50-EMA and crossed the 100-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The benchmark stayed above its moving averages afterwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs were flat while the 200-EMA pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI left the neutral area and moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

The bullish scenario prevailed on Tuesday. If the buying interest remains intact we don’t rule out further extension of the benchmark to 57.50 and 58.50 dollars per barrel.



DAX
 
General overview
 
European stocks moved lower following the mining and automobile sectors decline.
 
Current situation
 
DAX turned lower on Tuesday. The index gapped downwards at the daily open and extended its bearishness afterwards. Sellers pushed the price below 11500 during the Asian trades and headed towards 11400 in the European session. However, a fresh buying interest around the handle helped DAX  reverse daily losses and returned to opening prices. The price broke the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11500, the support stands at 11400.
 
MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen.  RSI left the neutral territory and moved downwards. 
 
Trading recommendations
 
In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 11400. The next bearish target is 11300.

 

NASDAQ

General overview

The US stocks turned red at the NY session opening following the hard Theresa May's remarks regarding Brexit. The markets digested as well and Morgan Stanley corporate earnings report.

Current situation

The index lost its upward momentum on Tuesday. NASDAQ met a barrier at 5060 and had to retreat. The benchmark gave up its gains and edged lower during the Asian hours. Bears kept pushing the price lower heading towards 5020 in the European session. However, sellers met buyers; resistance around the handle and had to retreat. The index turned around and reversed a minor portion of its losses. The price broke the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chat. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 5060, the support comes in at 5020.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overvalued territory and entered the neutral one.

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bearish for now. A break below 5020 may suggest further weakness of the benchmark. A break through here will turn attention to the 4980 level.





 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Miér Ene 18, 2017 9:10 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

19.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The dollar erased some of its losses vs. the euro ahead of J. Yellen’s speech on Wednesday. Moreover, the greenback got support from US consumer price index which coincided with investors’ expectations. The ECB will announce its interest rate decision later the day.

Current situation

The bullish market structure remained in place on Wednesday. The euro completed an upside impulse and retreated from the weekly high at 1.0716. The current rebound should be considered corrective amid profit-taking after the recent rally. The pair returned below 1.0700 in the early trades on Wednesday and stayed around the level during the European trades. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the same chart.  The resistance is at 1.0700, the support comes in at 1.0650.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator remained within overvalued readings. 

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 1.0650. When we break the level the support 1.0600 comes back into play. However, we believe the euro is to remain supported in the short-term as long as 1.0500 is intact.



Pound

General overview

Concerns regarding hard Brexit keep weighing on the cable. Despite the positive labor market data (Unemployment Rate remained unchanged, Claimant Count Change on the contrary increased) the pound weakened on Wednesday.

Current situation

The pound opened red against the dollar on Wednesday. The cable bounced off the border of the overbought zone and headed lower in the Asian session. Sellers broke the 1.2400 level in the early trades and tested 1.2300 in the European session. However, the 1.2300 handle stopped sellers' advance. After touching the level the price rolled back and hovered above the level ahead of the NY opening. The spot bounced off the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages kept heading lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI remained within the overbought area.

Trading recommendations

A bearish tone prevailed in the 4 hours chart. We recommend going short with the first target – 1.2200. After consolidation below the first target the GBP/USD may advance to the 1.2100 level.



Yen

General overview

The US dollar took a breath reaching the 7-week lows while investors focused on J.Yellen’s speech.

Current situation

The USD/JPY remained within a downtrend channel on Wednesday. The USD/JPY pair found a solid support at 112.50. The mark rejected the spot upwards giving the US dollar a chance to reverse a minor portion of its losses. After breaking 113.00 in the Asian session the recovery stalled above the level during the European hours. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 100 EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept heading lower while the 200-EMA remained flat. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

MACD traded to the downside. The RSI left the oversold readings and moved higher.

Trading recommendations

We expect the USD/JPY pair to extend its bullishness in the short-term. Should the US dollar advance beyond the 114.00 level, the spot may extend its rally up to 114.50.



AUD/USD

General overview

The AUD maintained its upbeat tone vs. the US dollar getting support from oil prices dynamics. The upcoming labor market data may support the Australian dollar as well.

Current situation

The tone is still positive in the market. The AUD/USD pair stayed around 2-week highs flirting with the 0.7550 level. The price was confined within a tight trading range around the level tending to move lower. The spot hovered above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA was flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7550, the support comes in at 0.7500.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. The RSI consolidated within overvalued territory. 

Trading recommendations

We expect a downward correction in the short-term. If we see a close below 0.7550 we will sell the spot. The potential bearish target is the 0.7500 handle.



XAU/USD

General overview

Gold slowed down its rally after reaching 8-week highs amid the US dollar recovery and risk-on sentiment. All eyes were on inflation data and Yellen's speech on Wednesday.

Current situation

Gold prices remained in an ascending channel on Wednesday. After reaching the 4-weeks peaks on Tuesday the metal slightly retreated and approached the lower limit of its upward structure on Wednesday. The XAU/USD pair slightly declined in the Asian session and found some support at 1210 dollars per ounce. Sellers struggled hard to break below the level during the European hours. According to the 1 hour chart the price tested the bullish 50-EMA. The price stayed above its moving averages which maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1220, the support stands at 1210 dollars per ounce.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI consolidated within overvalued readings.

Trading recommendations

A clear break below 1210 would indicate that the bearish phase has been resumed. The 1200 handle seems to be the next probable bearish target. Anyway the gold spot is still strong enough to move higher. A break above 1220 risks the 1230 hurdle.



Brent

General overview


Brent declined despite the increased forecast from OPEC for demand for oil in 2017. Oil prices edged lower after OPEC raised its U.S. output forecast for 2017.

Current situation
 
Sellers took control of the flows on Wednesday. The last upward impetus stalled just above 56.50 dollars per barrel. The benchmark faced a downward rejection and dropped to 55.50 in the NY session on Tuesday. Sellers continued moving the price lower on Wednesday. Bears broke 55.50 dollars per barrel at the European session opening and headed south afterwards. The benchmark tested 54.50 in the mid-European session. The price broke all moving averages downwards in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA remained neutral while the 50-EMA pointed lower. The 200-EMA kept heading higher in the same chart. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI left the neutral area and headed downwards.

Trading recommendations


As we see the market switched its tone to bearish. If the pressure persists sellers will remain in the driver’s seat. After a close below 54.50 we could see the benchmark extending its decline to 53.50 dollars per barrel.



DAX
 
General overview
 
 European stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as traders are looking for the ECB meeting results on Thursday.

Current situation
 
The index gapped higher at the daily open and reached 11600 after the jump. The benchmark failed to extend its gains and retreated immediately after the level test. Sellers kept moving DAX downwards during the European hours. The 4 hours chart showed that the price tested the 50-EMA. The benchmark remained between the 50 and the 100-EMAs during the European session. The moving averages kept heading higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.
 
 MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI was within the neutral territory.  

Trading recommendations

A move below 11500 would indicate that immediate upward pressure eased. If the DAX index fixates below the current support it may reach the 11400 area in the short term.


 
S&P500

General overview

Wall Street opened in green as investors digested bank earnings reports awaiting for Janet Yellen's speech later the day.

Current situation

The index opened the day in green. The benchmark was able to grow and posted a daily high at 2268. S&P500 gave up its recent gains afterwards and eased towards 2260 in the European session. The price bounced off the 100-EMA and tested the-50 EMA in the 4 hours chat. The benchmark was between the 50 and the 100-EMAs during the European trades. The 50 and 100 EMAs were flat while the 200-EMAs kept heading higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI stayed within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

If sellers keep control a close below 2260 might force the price to resume its downward trajectory towards the 2240 area.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Jue Ene 19, 2017 7:47 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

20.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The ECB left its rates unchanged: the deposit rate remained at -0.4% and the interest one at 0.0%. Moreover, the US dollar strengthened amid upbeat data. The Initial Jobless Claims came in green. Housing Starts showed strong figures as well. Investors’ attention now turns to Trump's inauguration which will take place on Friday.

Current situation

The downward trajectory lost its legs just below 1.0650 when sellers met a solid barrier which rejected the pair upwards. The euro reversed majority of its losses on Thursday. The spot broke 1.0650 ahead of the European session opening and headed towards 1.0700. However, the upward impetus soon faded, the recovery stalled above 1.0650. A fresh selling interest dragged the pair downwards. The spot broke 1.0650 and tested 1.0600 at the US session opening. The EUR/USD pair presented a neutral-to-bullish stance during the European hours. The 4 hours chart showed that the price stayed above the moving averages. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA remained flat in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0700, the support comes in at 1.0650.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was within neutral territory. 

Trading recommendations

We became bearish regarding the pair now. A break below 1.0650 would increase a negative signal and risk further easing of the EURUSD pair towards 1.0600, en route to 1.0550.



Pound

General overview

Housing Price Balance foe December came in worse than expecting slowing down the pound recovery on Thursday. The pound weakened further vs. the US dollar after the upbeat US data. We expect a number of UK's Retail Sales releases today which are expected with positive figures.

Current situation

The pound strengthened further on Thursday, sending the GBP/USD to its recent highs at 1.2400. The cable was able to reverse some of its losses amid broad dollar's weakness. Having found a local bottom at 1.2250 the spot reversed its direction and rallied upwards breaking 1.2300 in the European session. After passing the level the pair continued moving north targeting at 1.2400. Buying interest faded in the North American session. The price faced the downward rejection and turned lower. The price continued developing well between the 200 and the 100-EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs were neutral while the 200-EMA kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

MACD grew which is a buy signal. RSI left the neutral area and entered overvalued territory.

Trading recommendations

The pound remained under the risk of falling deeper down. The 1.2400 hurdle coupled with the 200-EMA limited the pound further advance. A downtrend will start as soon, as the spot drops below the support level 1.2300. Further easing to 1.2200 is not ruled out. A break above 1.2400 will advance the spot to 1.2450.



Yen

General overview

J. Yellen’s remarks coupled with strong data boosted the US dollar demand. The strong labor market data and Housing Starts release supported the greenback on Friday. All eyes are on Trump's inauguration.

Current situation

The pair remained in a short-term downward channel staying around its upper limit on Thursday. Buyers lost their momentum after touching 115.00. The US dollar was in a consolidation phase during the Asian and European sessions. Traders struggled with the hurdle to resume their advance. The level, however, turned out to be a solid obstacle to break. The US dollar got under selling pressure on any up-move towards the level. A fresh bout of buying interest supported the U.S. dollar. The major attacked the 115.00 hurdle with fresh vigour during the NY hours. The price tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI was within overvalued readings close to the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We believe that a break through 115.00 will put on hold bears’ plans. The potential buyers’ target is 116.00.



NZD/USD

General overview

New Zealand Business PMI posted positive figures while Building Permits came in red. Moreover, the kiwi as a commodity currency was supported by oil prices positive dynamics. The recent US data weighed on the NZD as well.

Current situation

The Asian recovery lost its steam after testing the level 0.7200. The hurdle appeared to be a tough nut to crack. After touching the level the NZD rolled back in the Asian session and remained below the resistance during the European hours. According to the 4 hours chart the spot hovered above its moving averages on Thursday. The 50 and 100-EMAs kept pointing higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7200, the support comes in at 0.7150.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI left the neutral area and headed north. 

Trading recommendations

Inability to retake 0.7200 may reverse the market. A sharp breakout below 0.7150 could spark a further easing towards 0.7100 in the coming days.



XAU/USD

General overview

The broad US dollar strengthening weighed on the precious metal. Besides a strong dollar gold prices softened amid the upbeat US data and the ECB decision to keep its rates unchanged.

Current situation

Gold prices remained under pressure on Thursday amid a strong dollar. The pair bounced off the 1200 psychological mark and remained around the handle during the day. The metal continued developing well above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA was flat in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1210, the support stands at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI stayed within the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bearish for now. We would be selling gold only if the price drops below 1200. A firm break below 1200 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 1190 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

The US oil inventory draw gave a temporally support for oil prices. The market will be focused on Oil Rig Count in the coming sessions.

Current situation
 
Oil prices remained in red figures after Wednesday's bearish acceleration. Brent a little changed on the day and remained prone to more weakness on Thursday. The benchmark stayed neutral around 54.50 dollars per barrel flirting with the level during the European session. Oil price stayed below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 100-EMA was flat while the 50-EMA headed lower, the 200-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 54.50, the support comes in at 53.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator was within the oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

Near-term technical studies are in full bearish setup. A daily close below 53.50 dollars per barrel will pave way for further near-term downslide towards the very important 50.00 psychological mark.



DAX
 
General overview
 
European bourses edged higher on Thursday after the ECB's decision to leave the rates unchanged. Meanwhile, mining stocks traded mixed while the financial sector shares moved broadly higher. Investors kept digesting Janet Yellen's comments. According to Yellen the Fed may raise the rates quickly this year.

Current situation
 
The index gapped higher at the daily open. However, the upmove lacked momentum immediately after the jump. The price softened filling the gap in the European session. Sellers broke 11600 and tried to push the price lower during the day. According to the 4 hours chart the index broke the 50-EMA upwards. The benchmark continued developing well above the moving averages afterwards. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11600, the support stands at 11500.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram returns the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD enters into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI stayed within the neutral territory close to the overvalued territory. 

Trading recommendations

In order to recover some strength, DAX30 needs to rise above 11600. However, as the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 11500.

 

NASDAQ

General overview

The US stocks opened higher amid the U.S strong data.  Investors focused on key companies (IBM and American Express) earnings reports which will report after the bell. However, traders preferred wait and see mode ahead of Donald Trump's inauguration on Friday.

Current situation

The index traded in a tight range on Thursday. The price was sandwiched between 5060 and 5040 during the day. The benchmark started the day at the open limit of the band and moved down to its lower limit during the course of the European trades. The price stayed above the moving averages in the 1 hour chat. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 50-EMA was flat while the 100 and the 200-EMAs kept heading higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 2280, the support comes in at 2260.

Trading recommendations

The market seems fairly balanced. The index feels comfortably in the current range. A clear break of either side is needed to signal fresh direction. Meanwhile we prefer to stay out of trades until we get a clear picture.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Miér Ene 25, 2017 7:39 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

26.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The European common currency got under selling pressure in the morning trades on Wednesday amid negative Business Climate release in Germany. A demand for the euro emerged in the European session helping the major to reverse its losses climbing to fresh highs.  

Current situation

Bears tried to take control over the market on Wednesday. After a night consolidation sellers made an attempt to move the price lower at the beginning of the European session. The price headed towards 1.0700 first, however, the selling interest faded soon. The pair found fresh bids above 1.0700 and extended its corrective rally on risk-on trades. The common currency rallied and reversed all Tuesday’s losses by the noon. The spot hovered above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and the 100-EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0750, the support comes in at 1.0700.

MACD grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strengthening. RSI stayed within overvalued readings. 

Trading recommendations

A bullish tone prevailed in the 4 hours chart. We will place buy orders if the EURAUD does a breakout at the resistance level of 1.0750. The pair might extend its gains towards 1.0800 afterwards. Meanwhile, inability to climb above 1.07500 risks a decline back to 1.0700.



Pound

General overview

The UK Industrial Trends Survey - Orders grew for January providing support for the cable. Investors kept weighing up M.Carney's remarks. The immediate focus now remains on the UK GDP for 4Q. Traders expect a light decline in the GDP.

Current situation

The GBP/USD pair kept its rangebound stance unchanged the first part of Wednesday. The spot traded in a tight range flirting with 1.2500 during the day. A fresh buying impetus boosted the GBP/USD pair to 1.2600 after London's opening. The spot continued developing well above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA pointed lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2600, the support comes in at 1.2500.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI indicator consolidated within overvalued readings favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

Strategically, we preserve bearish outlook and see risks of a move down towards 1.2400 over the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the price maintained its bullish tone in the 4 hours chart. The GBP/USD pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate resistance near 1.2700. However, the spot needs to break the 1.2600 level first to maintain its bullishness.



Yen

General overview

Protectionist rhetoric from the White House kept weighing on the dollar. Exports and Merchandise Trade Balance in Japan showed upbeat data supporting the national currency.

Current situation

USD/JPY remained in bearish trend. Tuesday’s recovery stalled when the price met a barrier at 114.00. Buyers failed to retake the level which rejected the USD/JPY pair downwards. The spot rolled back and stopped a few pips below the hurdle. The pair was confined to a well limited range below 114.00 during the European hours and continued its slide ahead of the NY session opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the price tested the 50-EMA in the early trades. The US dollar failed to reclaim the 50-EMA and bounced off it. The benchmark remained below its moving averages.  The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept heading lower while the 200-EMA stayed flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI remained within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

We expect to see renewed bearish pressure in the coming sessions. Sellers may drive the pair to 113.00 first, en route to 112.50.



USD/CAD

General overview

Trump’s plans to revive Keystone XL and Dakota Access oil pipelines weighed on the Canadian dollar. However, the Loonie recovered some ground later the day in the light of weaker oil prices.

Current situation

The US dollar remained rather unchanged against its Canadian peer. After a sharp sell-off sellers took a breath consolidating their gains. The price hovered above 1.3120 in the morning after being rejected in the early Asian trades. A fresh buying interest emerged in the mid-European session pushing the US dollar upwards. An attempt to raise rates failed and a downward pressure returned the spot to 1.3120 in the mid-European session. The CAD broke 100 and 50-EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. The USD/CAD pair stayed below the moving averages afterwards. The 100-EMAs kept heading lower while the 50 and the 200-EMAs were neutral in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 1.3190, the support comes in at 1.3120.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI consolidated within the oversold readings. 

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bearish, for a fall towards 1.3050 support area. However, the USD/CAD is oversold and we do not rule out a minor correction towards 1.32.



XAU/USD

General overview

Uncertainty around Trump’s economic agenda and lack of US data softened the US dollar. Gold took an advantage of weaker dollar and strengthened. Markets now eagerly await the US Housing Price Index report.

Current situation

Gold prices turned negative after the opening. The XAU/USD pair came under some profit-taking pressure on Wednesday. Bears seized control and pushed the price downwards. The metal pushed away from the 1210 dollars per ounce in the Asian session and headed downwards. European traders continued dragging gold futures downwards and reached 1200 in the mid-European session. However, the level limited sellers’ advance rejecting the gold spot. According to the 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA downwards and stayed between the 50 and the 100-EMAs afterwards. The 50 and the 100-EMA pointed higher, while the 200-EMA remained flat. The resistance exists at 1210, the support stands at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI left the neutral territory and entered oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

The uptrend is not over yet. The buying interest remains while 1195 pivot holds. We expect gold prices to resume their growth. A break above 1210 will suggest its further strengthening towards 1220 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices edged lower ahead of the EIA crude stockpiles report.

Current situation
 
Traders remained equally divided between bulls and bears on Wednesday. Brent failed to sustain a minor-recovery above 55.50 hurdle and extended losses below the last. The price remained in a tight range during the Asian session. Traders made an attempt to lower the price in the early European session but succeeded in the second one. The price broke its moving averages downwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages remained flat in the same chart. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI remained within neutral area.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the benchmark will go to 54.50 first. Having overcome the first target the price might advance towards 53.50 dollars per barrel.



DAX
 
General overview
 
European stocks traded in green on Wednesday. The latest earnings reports supported stocks. The growth was boosted by Logitech and Banco Santander upbeat figures.

Current situation
 
The index gapped higher at the daily open. The benchmark maintained its bid tone afterwards. Buyers pushed the price through 11700 in the early European trades. DAX extended its rally in the late European hours approaching to 11800. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 100 and 50 EMAs upwards. The benchmark moved away from the moving averages which kept heading higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11800, the support stands at 11700.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI stayed within overvalued readings favoring a new move higher. 

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay bullish for now. If the benchmark stays above 11700 DAX will aim at 11800.

 

NASDAQ


General overview

Wall Street futures hit record highs on Wednesday. The post-election rally seems to have returned boosted by President Trump's push for pro-growth policies.

Current situation

The index had a positive day on Wednesday. A brief consolidation phase was over by the European trades opening. European traders pushed the price higher which rallied towards 5120. The upward impetus faded about the mark ahead of the NY session opening. NASDAQ continued developing well above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200-EMAs accelerated their advance north in the same chart. The resistance is at 5140, the support comes in at 5100.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

The technical picture presents a bullish tone. A break above 5100 opened the way to the 5140 hurdle.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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Re: Fort Financial Services-análisis tecnico fundamental

Mensaje  ValdisFFS el Lun Ene 30, 2017 8:48 pm

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

31.01.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro ignored positive GDP in Spain and softened on Monday. Markets eye the upcoming ECB meeting and Consumer Price Index which is expected in green.

Current situation


The EUR/USD gapped higher at the daily open on Monday. The price jumped from 1.0700 to 1.0740 in the early Asian trades. The dollar's negative tone however, reversed mid Asian session. Bulls failed to extend their gains and stepped back giving the way to sellers. Bears seized control and pushed the spot back to 1.0700 where the spot traded almost unchanged in the mid-European session. A fresh selling interest emerged before NY opening. The EUR/USD pair made a good break lower and reached 1.0650. The price broke the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart in the mid-European trades. The 50 and the 100-EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA remained flat in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0700, the .support comes in at 1.0650.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI was within the neutral area and moved south. 

Trading recommendations


The 1.0750 resistance needs to be retested before the EUR/USD pair might rally towards 1.8000. However, the spot has all chances to turn bearish now. Should the price fixate below 1.0650 the way towards 1.0550 will be opened.



Pound

General overview

There was not much to watch on the UK calendar on Monday. All eyes are on the Bank of England on Wednesday.

Current situation

The GBP/USD gapped higher at the start of the new week. The spot jumped up to 1.2600 where the price met a strong barrier. The major bounced off the hurdle, dropped back towards the opening price сlosing the bullish opening gap. The spot pressured the 1.2500 level in the European session, but failed to retake the handle. The pound hovered above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs headed north while the 200-EMA was neutral-bearish in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2600, the support comes in at 1.2500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator left the overvalued readings and headed south.

Trading recommendations

The technical picture favors the downside. Should the 1.2500 level break down it will determine further direction of the GBPUSD pair towards 1.2400.



Yen

General overview

The US treasury bonds growth helped the US dollar to reverse some losses. Besides, weak Retail Trades in Japan weakened the national currency.

Current situation

A strong two day rally was capped above 115.00. The US dollar gapped lower vs. its Japanese peer at open on Monday. The greenback jumped from 115.00 to 114.85 and extended its losses afterwards. After finding fresh bids around 114.23 the price turned around and rallied back to the opening price. The spot approached 115.00 in the early European trades but retreated immediately after the level test. The USD/JPY pair stayed a few pips below the level ahead of the NY opening. The price tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The spot remained around the 100-EMA after testing the moving. The 100 and the 200-EMAs were flat while the 50 pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD traded to the upside. The RSI was within the overvalued readings close to the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Bullish near-term studies support further upside sentiment. A firm break above 115.00 handle would open 116.00.



USD/CAD

General overview

Investors’ attention now turns to GDP which will be published on Wednesday. Meanwhile oil prices decline weighed on the commodity-linked currency – Lonnie. Moreover, Quebec mosque terrorist attack on Sunday weighed a bit on the Canadian Dollar.

Current situation

The greenback extended its near-term bullish momentum on Monday. After a brief consolidation during the Asian hours the US dollar moved upwards. The pair accelerated its growth in early Europe trades heading towards 1.3190. However, the upside momentum was halted at 1.3158 where the major remained ahead of NA opening. According to the 4 hours chart the spot stayed below its moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 50 and the 200-EMAs were neutral while the 100-EMA headed downwards in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 1.3190, the support comes in at 1.3120.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI was within the neutral area. 

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 1.3120. A cut through here will turn attention to the 1.3090 mark. En route to 1.3050.



XAU/USD

General overview

Precious metal is in demand in the light of Trump’s moves. The US President banned travelers from seven Muslim countries from entering the USA.

Current situation

Friday’s recovery stalled at 1195 dollars per ounce. After reaching the mark the precious metal reversed its direction and moved lower. Gold prices touched the level 1190 at the start of European trades and stayed around the level ahead of the North American session open. The price bounced off the 100-EMA and stayed below the 50 and the 100-EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA and the 200-EMA were neutral while the 50-EMA pointed lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 1190, the support stands at 1180 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI left the neutral territory and moved south.

Trading recommendations

A move below 1190 would indicate that immediate upward pressure eased. The next level to focus on is 1180 dollars per ounce.



Brent

General overview

Rising US production continued weighing on oil prices. Besides, a growing number of the US rigs added some downbeat tone in the commodity.

Current situation
 
Oil prices remained in its familiar range on Monday. The price stayed range bound to higher between 55.50 and 55.15 during the day. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke its moving averages upwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and the 100-EMAs were bearish while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI stayed within the oversold readings close to the neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Short term bias indicates selling interest. We expect a firm break below 55.50 handle which could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 54.50 dollars per barrel.



DAX
 
General overview
 
World stocks decline dragged European stocks lower. Market participants are concerned about D.Trump's moves as the US President.

Current situation
 
The index gapped lower at the weekly open. The price gapped through 11800 and maintained its bearish tone afterwards. The bears tightened grip and sent the rate back towards 11700 handle in the early European trades. The spot hovered above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11800, the support stands at 11700.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator left the overvalued readings favoring a new move lower. 

Trading recommendations

The immediate risk is still clearly on the downside but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 11700 before turning bearish. Our first profit target will be 11600.

 

S&P500

General overview

US stocks traded lower on Monday following the uncertainty after the recent Trump’s moves over the external policy. Traders are concerned that the future Trump’s policy may impact both the US and the World economies.

Current situation

S&P500 gapped lower at the open. The price jumped to 2280 which appeared to be a solid barrier. After touching the level the benchmark had to retreat and rolled back to 2285 almost filling the night gap. According to the 4 hours chart the benchmark continued developing well above its moving averages. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 2300, the support comes in at 2280.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator was within the neutral area.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes strong support at 2280 handle loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 2270 area.



 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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